Capper Penguin's MNF Bears @ Patriots Pick - 10/24

MNF: Bears @ Patriots

The Bears pass defense is elite, BUT their rushing defense is SECOND WORST in the NFL and the Patriots love to run the ball. Let me paint the picture. The Bears passing defense has only allowed opposing quarterbacks 178.7 passing yards per game this season, but have allowed almost as many rushing yards per game at 163 rushing yards. Luckily for the Patriots (and us), they thrive on a grind it out, running affair. The Patriots average 131 yards rushing yards per game with a big uptick at home averaging 160.5 RYPG.

The only reason this line is so low is because Damien Harris returns to the lineup and will (at most) take half of Dre's carries, but Dre covered in his last 3 with Damien Harris playing including at home vs a very tough Baltimore rush defense (73 yards on 12 carries). Dre has been absolutely eating on the ground with or without Damien covering in his L4/4 averaging 94 RYPG making me believe that he will still see the bulk of the carries. Even if he sees half the touches and the Patriots maintain their normal 131 RYPG, he'll end with about 65 rushing, but given the big uptick at home vs the league's second worst rushing defense, he should have no problem covering 60. Add in the fact that we have a very favorable game script with the Patriots favored by 8.5, Rhamondre is locked and loaded for 60+ rushing.

Best odds on FD.

Capper Penguin's Pick 🐧



Penguin's Promo: $1,000 No Sweat First Bet
New users in AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, PA, TN, VA, WY, WV. 21+ only
Get Capper Penguin's latest picks straight to your inbox! 🐧
By subscribing you agree to our T&Cs & Privacy Policy and are happy to receive marketing from FlashPicks. 21+
No matches to display

Free Bets & Offers

Virginia: Bet $1 on anything & Get $365 Guaranteed
Deposit required. Bonus Bets winnings are added to Bonus Bets balance. Bonus Bet wager excluded from returns. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply. CO, NJ, OH & VA only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-Gambler. 21+
Virginia: Bet $20, Win $200 in Free Bets
Promo Code: GET100. New users in VA. 21+.
Bet $5 on any pre-game moneyline & Win $150 in Virginia
New users in VA. 21+
$1,000 in Bonus Bets on any Sport in Virginia
New users in VA. 21+
⚡️ Free Picks Newsletter ⚡️
By subscribing you agree to our T&Cs & Privacy Policy and are happy to receive marketing from FlashPicks. 21+

Covering a wide range of US sports, we aim to be the ultimate sports betting website. Here you’ll find picks and analysis for the biggest sports across the USA.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537).

800Gambler - Helpline: 1-800 GAMBLER
State Selector

FlashPicks is owned and operated by Checkd Media. Contact [email protected] for more information.

© 2012 - 2023 Copyright FlashPicks. All Rights reserved. v2.8.5 (1)