There’s a few factors I love for this over tonight. Joe Musgrove has been great so far, and even pitched well against the Reds in his last outing. The Reds have also had a very difficult time scoring, only able to score more than 2 runs in 1 of the last 9 games. But that’s where we get the value at 7.5 runs. Cincy is due for some runs based on the hit rates. And even if they can’t get much, the Padres offense has been excellent and won’t find much of a challenge in Reiver Sanmartin. The Reds also have arguably the worst bullpen in baseball. Add that to the hitter friendly ball park, and there should be plenty of runs in this one.