Free Picks And Parlays Today

The line for this game has been moving back and forth all week with updates on Kansas City Chiefs star quarterback Patrick Mahomes’ injuries. It looks like he will be ready to go and play on Saturday at home against the Houston Texans. The Texans have won two straight over the past two weeks to stop their mid-season slide that was taking them from contention of the AFC number one seed back to fighting just for their division lead. However, with their win last week they have secured the AFC South crown again and will now be looking to gain momentum before the playoffs. Houston will be looking to their pass rush, which has the second most sacks in the NFL (45), to cause chaos for an already hobbled Mahomes. We expect the Texans to cause problems for a shaky Kansas City offensive line, and when Mahomes is sacked more than three times the Chiefs have only won by over 3 points once in regulation. We expect this trend to continue and for the Texans to cover the spread on Saturday.

After losing to the Buffalo Bills on Sunday the Detroit Lions now sit at 12-2 along with the Minnesota Vikings and Philadelphia Eagles at the top of the NFC. With only three weeks to play, each game becomes a must win in order for the Lions now to secure the number one seed. In the first game of the remaining three the Lions will face divisional rivals Chicago Bears, whose eight game losing streak have plummeted them out of playoff contention. Although the losing streak has spoiled their season, Bears’ fans can take pride in the recent turn of form for Caleb Williams, who could’ve taken the Lions to overtime in the reverse fixture if not for some poor clock management. Williams was able to throw for over 250 passing yards and three touchdowns in this game and now the Lions’ defense has suffered even more defensive injuries, five players already added to IR just this month. With the Lions’ defense reeling, conceding 39.5 points per game since last playing the Bears, we expect Caleb Williams to impress again this week and be able to help the Bears upset the Lions in Chicago.

The Washington Commanders have been one of the surprise packages this season, going from bottom of the NFC East to being able to secure a playoff spot this week if they can defeat the Philadelphia Eagles at home and certain results go their way. The Commanders’ success has been tied to their rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels hitting the ground running in the NFL, so much so that he is the favorite for the offensive rookie of the year. The reverse fixture for this matchup back in Week 11 was one of Daniels’ worst games of the season, only just clearing 200 total yards including passing and rushing. Since this game Daniels has generated 9 total touchdowns across three games to help his team breakaway from the wildcard group. This week we expect Jayden Daniels to do enough offensively to keep the Commanders within touching distance of the Philadelphia Eagles in a close low scoring game. We’re taking the Commanders to cover the spread at home this week.

The Seattle Seahawks lost their first game in five weeks on Sunday Night Football and with that the lead of their division. They will be looking to instantly bounce back at home to a Minnesota Vikings team that has won seven games in a row and joined the Detroit Lions at the top of the NFC North and entire NFC at 12-2. We think that Sunday’s game may be a case of the Vikings looking ahead to their crucial end of season divisional games and slip up this week against a dangerous Seahawks team in Seattle.

In Week 15 the San Francisco 49ers and Miami Dolphins both suffered devastating losses that, while did not mathematically eliminate them, made a path to a playoff spot extremely difficult with both teams two wins back from a playoff spot with only three games to play. Both of these teams struggled offensively in Week 15, with only one offensive touchdown. We expect the San Francisco 49ers, with the extra rest of playing on Thursday Night instead of Sunday, will be able to bounce back more emphatically and upset the Dolphins in Miami.

The Jacksonville Jaguars and Las Vegas Raiders have both been eliminated from the playoffs this year and their matchup on Sunday will only now be for pride and draft order. Both teams have been struggling offensively all year and even more so since both losing their starting quarterbacks to injury reserve for the season. Whilst Mac Jones and the Jaguars have shown some slight offensive spark, the Raiders offence has hit a complete wall, not scoring over 20 points in five gameweeks. We think the Jaguars will be able to outscore the Raiders in a low scoring affair in Las Vegas on Sunday.

Saturday sees one of the matchups of the season as the Pittsburgh Steelers travel to Baltimore to take on the Ravens. With a win the Steelers can all but seal the AFC North, but if the Ravens win then they will join the Steelers at the top of the division with only 2 weeks to go. We think the Ravens will win and in all but one of their wins this season they have scored at least 30 points, we expect this to happen again and for the Steelers to make up the rest of the match points.

Lamar Jackson has had another excellent season in the NFL this year, finding himself second favourite to take home a third MVP award. This season he has thrown the second most passing touchdowns (34) and the fifth most passing yards (3580) and has cleared this week’s passing line in all but one game this season when he has thrown more than 22 times. This game was the reverse fixture against the Steelers and we think he will get revenge this week and clear his passing line.

Najee Harris was having a solid rushing season this season, but on Sunday last week he met the Philadelphia Eagles’ defensive line who completely swallowed him up and Harris could only manage 14 rushing yards. This week will be no easier for Najee Harris as he lines up against the Ravens defense who allow the least rushing yards per carry (3.5) and per game (80.7). We expect Harris’ struggles to continue again this week and for him not to clear his rushing line again this week.

Zay Flowers has by far been Baltimore’s leading receiver this season in terms of targets (101), receptions (66), and receiving yards (916). However, his receiving touchdown numbers haven’t been as impressive, with only four to his name. His last receiving touchdown in fact came back in week 11 against the Pittsburgh Steelers and we expect him to score another this week against the Steelers defense who have given up 7 receiving touchdowns over the past three games.

Third year tight end Trey McBride has really broken out this season, second only to Brock Bowers in targets (116), receptions (89), and receiving yards (938) amongst tight ends. Despite these impressive numbers McBride is still yet to secure himself a receiving touchdowns this year. This week he will be hoping to secure his first against the Carolina Panthers who have allowed the most receiving touchdowns in the NFL this season (27). We expect Trey McBride and the Arizona Cardinals offense to find a lot of success on Sunday in Carolina and McBride to finally get his first receiving touchdown of the season.

The Buffalo Bills were the first team in the NFL to lock up their division three weeks ago and since then the offense has not missed a beat, scoring 42 and 48 points against the Los Angeles Rams and Detroit Lions, respectively. In these two games third year wide receiver Khalil Shakir reaffirmed himself as Buffalo’s top receiver with a third quarter receiving touchdown in each. We expect Shakir to extend this receiving touchdown streak to three games in New England.

Second year running back De’Von Achane has been a threat in both aspects of the Miami Dolphins’ offense this season. He leads the team in terms of rushing touchdowns (4) and receiving touchdowns (6). This week he faces the San Francisco 49ers in a must win game for both teams and their defense which has struggled in comparison to previous seasons. Only the Dallas Cowboys have allowed more rushing touchdowns than the 49ers this season. We expect Achane to capitalize on this in the run game or through his use in the pass game.

Fresh off their 26 point win at Minnesota, the Knicks head to New Orleans looking for their 3rd win in a row and their 5th straight away from home. Karl-Anthony Towns had a monster night vs his old team, recording 32 points and 20 rebounds on just 12 field goal attempts. Meanwhile, the Pelicans are once again on a long losing streak having dropped their last 5 games in a row. They’ve gone just 5-23 SU this season, a lot of experts are suggesting they should just give up on the year and tank the rest of the way. Zion Williamson, Jose Alvarado and Brandon Ingram remain out of the line-up, injuries have not been kind to the Pelicans this year. Out of the 5 losses in a row, NOLA has lost 3 of them by double-digits. They are also currently on a 10-game losing streak vs team from the Eastern Conference, while at home they’ve got 1 win in 6 games. Everything is pointing to yet another dominant Knicks win, so let’s back them to cover here.

Holiday had just 6 points in the loss to Chicago on Thursday, so this is a good bounce back spot for him. He has cleared his line 4 times in 5 games, we are expecting the numbers to go up across the board here as Chicago plays the 2nd fastest pace in the league. They also have the 5th worst defensive rating in home games this season, expect Holiday to get his numbers.

Thursday’s loss definitely wasn’t on Tatum who recorded 31 points and 10 rebounds. He has now registered double-digit rebounds in 5 games in a row, while also averaging 10.9 per game over his last 8 outings. Against Chicago he’s averaging 12 per game in 2 meetings this season, that should continue here with the Bulls allowing 56.2 rebounds per game at home ranking 28th in the NBA.

LaVine exploded for 36 points, including 6 threes in Thursday’s game and was one of the reasons why Chicago won that game. Right now is doing his best to prove to potential suitors that they should trade for him, over his last 9 games he’s shooting the three-ball at 42.7%, while against Boston in 2 meetings that number is at an impressive 45.5%.

Unai Emery's side have only lost once at home in the Premier League this season, and following the defeat to Arsenal in August, the home side have picked up 15 points from 21 available at Villa Park. Manchester City are experiencing their worst run of form since 2006 under Stuart Pearce, as Pep Guardiola's side have now lost eight of their last 11 games in all competitions following the 2-1 defeat to local rivals Manchester United.

The Hammers have won twice in their previous five games, also facing consecutive defeats during that run against Leicester (3-1) and Arsenal (2-5). Brighton and Hove Albion are now without a win in four league games following their recent 3-1 defeat against Crystal Palace. Brighton have also drawn twice in their last four games.

Newcastle are in good form heading into this game, having lost only one of their last five games, winning two, while also drawing 3-3 with Liverpool. Ipswich, though, are still winless on home soil in the Premier League and have lost three of their last four at Portman Road.

Brentford have the best home record in the Premier League with seven wins and one draw from eight - following their 4-2 win against Newcastle United in their last home game. Nottingham Forest have lost two of their last four away games and are winless in the previous six meetings against the hosts.

The Gunners are unbeaten in their previous six league games, with three wins over Nottingham Forest (3-0), West Ham United (2-5) and Manchester United (2-0). Arsenal have also won the last five meetings between the two sides, having scored first in four of the previous five meetings. Crystal Palace are winless in their previous three following two draws and a 2-0 defeat at home to Fulham.

Manchester United have won nine of the last 18 meetings, with Bournemouth only winning once at Old Trafford since their arrival to the Premier League in 2015. Away from home, Bournemouth's form has been indifferent only two wins from their previous six in the Premier League.

Leicester City are unbeaten at home under Ruud van Nistelrooy, following a 2-2 draw against Brighton and a 3-1 win over West Ham United. Wolves have lost their previous four consecutive games on the bounce and find themselves in a perilous position following their 2-1 defeat against Ipswich Town.

Fulham have been excellent this season under Marco Silva, as the hosts sit a point outside the European places after 16 games played. The hosts are unbeaten in their last four league games, drawing three and winning once against Brighton and Hove Albion (3-1). Southampton have been the worst-performing team in the league following their 5-0 defeat against Tottenham Hotspur, which leaves them with five points from 16 games.

Since the 2-1 defeat to Liverpool, Chelsea has remained unbeaten in the Premier League, with six wins from their last eight league games, including wins over Tottenham Hotspur (3-4), Southampton (1-5) & Aston Villa (3-0). Everton have only won once in their previous five, with three draws and a 4-0 defeat away at Old Trafford.

Following their win over Southampton in midweek, Liverpool are now unbeaten in 20 games in all competitions and more impressively, Arne Slot's side are unbeaten away from home in the league this season - with five wins and two draws. Tottenham Hotspur are winless in their last four home games in all competitions - three in the league - after two losses to Chelsea (3-4) and Ipswich Town (1-2).

Brentford have the best home record in the Premier League with seven wins and one draw from eight - following their 4-2 win against Newcastle United in their last home game. Nottingham Forest have lost two of their last four away games and are winless in the previous six meetings against the hosts.

The Hammers have won twice in their previous five games, also facing consecutive defeats during that run against Leicester (3-1) and Arsenal (2-5). Brighton and Hove Albion are now without a win in four league games following their recent 3-1 defeat against Crystal Palace. Brighton have also drawn twice in their last four games.

Newcastle are in good form heading into this game, having lost only one of their last five games, winning two, while also drawing 3-3 with Liverpool. Ipswich, though, are still winless on home soil in the Premier League and have lost three of their last four at Portman Road.

The Gunners are unbeaten in their previous six league games, with three wins over Nottingham Forest (3-0), West Ham United (2-5) and Manchester United (2-0). Arsenal have also won the last five meetings between the two sides, having scored first in four of the previous five meetings. Crystal Palace are winless in their previous three following two draws and a 2-0 defeat at home to Fulham.

Burnley are unbeaten in their previous seven league games, as the Clarets have also kept five clean sheets in that run of games. The hosts are unbeaten at home this season, with two wins from their previous five league games against Coventry City (2-0) & Swansea City (1-0). Despite being unbeaten in six, Watford’s away record is less than desirable, with one win in their last seven, following a 1-1 draw with Hull City.

The Bluebirds have lost their previous three home games against the likes of Preston (0-2), QPR (0-2) & Blackburn Rovers (1-3). Sheffield United have been in spectacular form as the league leaders are unbeaten in their last ten league games and have scored first in six of their previous seven. The Blades are unbeaten in five on their travels, following a 1-0 win away at Millwall.

Leeds United have the best home record in the Championship, with nine wins, one draw and one loss from 11 games at Elland Road. Since the 1-0 defeat to Burnley in September, Leeds United have won their last eight consecutive games on home soil, with victories against the likes of Middlesbrough (3-1), Watford (2-1) & Sheffield United (2-0). Oxford United have one of the worst away records in the Championship, with no wins from nine, two draws and seven losses. The visitors have lost their last four consecutive away games without scoring.

The hosts are winless in their last six games, having drawn three and losing their previous three consecutive games against Coventry City (0-1), Sheffield United (0-1) and 1-0 away at Middlesbrough. Blackburn Rovers have been impressive in recent weeks, as the visitors have won their last six consecutive games in the Championship - including a 1-0 win over both Leeds United and Middlesbrough. The visitors are unbeaten in the last six meetings between the two sides.

Plymouth Argyle are winless in their previous six and have lost their previous four consecutive league games, following their 2-0 away defeat to league leaders Middlesbrough. Middlesbrough have won two of their last five away games in the Championship with victories over Oxford United (2-6) & QPR (1-4), having only suffered one defeat in five on their travels.

Sunderland are unbeaten at home this season, having won six and drawn four of their ten games at the Stadium of Light. The Black Cats are unbeaten in three, following their 3-2 away win against Swansea and 2-1 win at home to Stoke City. Norwich City are winless in three, although their away record has been awful in the league, with one win against Derby County (2-3) since September. Norwich City lost on their recent visit to Sunderland, 3-1 last season.

Cardiff City have been in awful form over the last few weeks, with no wins in seven following their 2-2 draw with Stoke City. The Bluebirds have lost their previous three home games against the likes of Preston (0-2), QPR (0-2) & Blackburn Rovers (1-3). Sheffield United have been in spectacular form as the league leaders are unbeaten in their last ten league games and have scored first in six of their previous seven. The Blades are unbeaten in five on their travels, following a 1-0 win away at Millwall.