Yankees vs. Mets Prediction, Odds & Picks: Will the Bronx Bombers Silence the Mets in the Subway Series Opener?

The New York baseball scene ignites as the Yankees (60-42) welcome their cross-town rivals, the Mets (50-48), for a two-game series opener at the iconic Yankee Stadium on Tuesday, July 23rd, 2024. With the first pitch scheduled for 7:05 PM ET, this midweek matchup promises a charged atmosphere and a pivotal game in the race for both teams.

Both teams boast explosive offenses, with the Yankees leading the league in homers and the Mets having power hitters like Alonso and McNeil. Pitching matchups favor offense as the young Gil can be susceptible to homers and Quintana has been hittable. Recent high-scoring trends and Yankee Stadium's hitter-friendly environment suggest a game where both sides can light up the scoreboard.

Total Pick: Over 9 runs

• TV: Available on ESPN, ensuring national coverage for this highly anticipated game.
• Streaming: Available on MLB.TV or your local cable provider's streaming service to catch the action online.

The Bronx Bombers boast a 10-game lead atop the AL East. Young pitching star Luis Gil (10-5, 3.17 ERA) takes the mound, looking to extend his impressive season with another dominant outing. The offense, led by Aaron Judge's league-leading 35 home runs and Anthony Rizzo's consistent production, aims to erupt against the Mets pitching.

The Mets sit precariously above .500, clinging to a Wild Card spot. Veteran lefty Jose Quintana (4-6, 4.13 ERA) needs a strong performance to silence the Yankee bats. Pete Alonso, the reigning Home Run Derby champion, will be a key offensive weapon for the Mets, hoping to ignite their lineup against Gil.

Yankees

The Bronx Bombers lead the league in home runs (212) and boast a potent offense with a .278 team batting average. However, their pitching staff has been inconsistent, sporting a 4.21 ERA.

Mets

The Mets offense has been streaky, with Alonso and Jeff McNeil leading the charge. Their pitching staff, however, boasts a respectable 3.98 ERA, led by the steady hand of Jacob deGrom coming out of the bullpen.

• Yankees - Luis Gil: The young righty has been a revelation, mixing a potent fastball with a deceptive change up. He'll need to locate his pitches effectively against a dangerous Mets line-up.
• Mets - Pete Alonso: "Polar Bear" is on fire, with 33 home runs on the season. Look for him to try and take Gil deep early in the count.
• Yankees - Aaron Judge: The reigning AL MVP is on a tear, leading the league in homers and RBIs. Can the Mets find a way to neutralize him?
• Mets - Jacob deGrom: Though no longer a starter due to injury, deGrom's return to the bullpen adds a crucial weapon for the Mets. His late-inning dominance could be the difference in a close game.