MLB Home Run Picks for ALCS, Game 4 and NLCS, Game 3 – October 16

The ALCS and NLCS continue with Game Three between the Dodgers and Brewers (NLCS) and Game Four for the Blue Jays and Mariners. With the power hitters featured in these games, it is a great time to bet on MLB home run props, especially if you sign up for a new account with Caesars.

Why Caesars? Because you can claim their Bet $1 Double Your Winnings on Your Next 20 Wagers (up to $25 max per boost). So, a $25 bet on Shohei Ohtani to hit one out could win you $112.50 rather than $56.25! On that note, let’s take a look at some of the home run markets for both games (odds via Caesars).

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Jackson Chourio, to hit a home run at +425

If a Brewer is going to hit one off Tyler Glasnow (who hasn’t given up a home run since Aug. 30), I’d bet on Jackson Chourio. Chourio is hitting .320 during the postseason and has hit two home runs, including the only one the Brewers have hit in the NLCS.

Shohei Ohtani to hit a home run at +225 & Teoscar Hernandez to hit a home run at +390

Ohtani is kind of an obvious choice since he hit 55 home runs In the regular season, has hit two in the postseason, and seven off of Brewers pitchers. He is hitting .143 in this series, so he is due to explode. As for Hernandez, he hit 25 during the regular season, has one in this series, and four in the postseason. He is hitting .294 in postseason play with an OPS of 1.009.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners

Vlad Guerrero, to hit a home run at +400

Guerrero has been killing the ball throughout the postseason, hitting .464 with a ridiculous 1.479 OPS. His dinger in Game Three was his first of the ALCS, but fourth of the postseason. With how he’s been hitting, Guerrero is a solid pick to go long as long as the Blue Jays are alive.

Cal Raleigh, to hit a home run at +210

Seattle starter Max Scherzer gave up home runs in five of his last six starts and gave up multiple in three of them. Someone is bound to hit a home run off him before he gets pulled. If anyone is going to hit one off him tonight, it’s this season’s home run king.

Several other parks in the regular season were more home run-friendly than Seattle’s T-Mobile Park. But with 194 during the regular season, there was an average of 2.4 per game. But no park had more home runs than LA’s Dodger Stadium with 254 (3.13 per game on average).

Of the starting pitchers we know, Scherzer is the one most likely to give up a home run, so I’d certainly lean towards Cal Raleigh to hit one; maybe Julio Rodriguez (+390), who has had two in the series. However, if you only wanted to bet on players in one game, with Dodger Stadium’s history this season, I may lean towards the Dodgers-Brewers game.

• NLCS, Game 3: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers, 6:08 p.m. EST
• ALCS Game 4: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners, 8:33 p.m. EST
• NLCS, Game 4: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers, Friday, 6:08 p.m. EST
• ALCS Game 5: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners, Friday, 8:33 p.m. EST