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@TonesTakes - Best Bets For Super Bowl LVI

TonesTakes

Last week I went over some of the unconventional prop offerings for the Super Bowl, those were more of the fun wagers that you should not put too much of your bankroll on. This week, let's go over the traditional plays and props that I like for the big game. 

Spread Pick

I have been going back and forth on this for the last few days. I am a big fan of this Bengals team and Joe Burrow especially, but this is a bad match up for them, most notably the Rams defensive line vs the Bengals offensive line. The Rams are the toughest defense that Joe Cool has faced thus far. They have many veteran defenders that can put pressure on Burrow, with or without the blitz. Von Miller, Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey will be too much for the Bengal offense to overcome.

As long as Stafford doesn't turn the ball over, the Rams should cover this number in the end. Let's get into Bengal player props that I like, the first two are based on this line match up mentioned above.

Tones' Spread Pick

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Rams -3.5 @ -110
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Joe Burrow Rushing Yards Pick

Burrow will be forced to run to avoid the rush, he is coming off a 25 yard performance against the Chiefs and I see the same on Sunday. This number is relatively low and he should hit this mark early in the game. He is going to do anything he has to do to win this game so expect him to use his legs in this game.

Joe Burrow Rushing Yards

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Over 10.5 @ -120
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Joe Mixon Receiving Yards Pick

Another prop based off the Rams Defensive line/Cin Offensive line mismatch. I don't think the Bengals will be able to establish the run game so Burrow will look to get Mixon involved in the passing game. He'll also look to Mixon to alleviate the pressure from the Rams' line. Mixon has hit this mark in his last 5 games. During the regular season the Rams Averaged 37.1 yards against to Running backs.

Joe Mixon Receiving Yards

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Over 26.5 @ -115
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Tee Higgins Receiving Yards Pick

Expect Jalen Ramsey to be on JaMarr Chase, which should open up the field for Tee Higgins. Higgins is coming off performances of 96 and 103 yards in the last 2 games. Plenty of secondary receivers hit their yards props against the Rams this season, that should continue on Sunday.

Now let's get into Rams props that i see value in on Sunday...

Tee Higgins Receiving Yards

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Over 69.5 @ -115
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Cooper Kupp Receptions Pick

What can I say, I am attracted to plus money. I think this line is dead on and would not touch it if I had to lay juice but at plus money, I am on it. Kupp is coming off 9 and 11 catch performances in his last 2 games. There is no reason to stop feeding him the ball now. McVay will get the ball in his star WR's hands early and often which leads me into another plus money Gem....

Cooper Kupp Receiving Yards

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Over 8.5 @ +110
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Cooper Kupp Rushing Yards Pick

McVay is going to be aggressive in this game, he coached a scared game in his first Super Bowl appearance, expect trick plays to keep the Bengals off balance. Kupp has 4 rushing attempts this season totaling 18 yards. I absolutely love this price. Don't be surprised to see him with a pass attempt as well.

Cooper Kupp Rushing Yards

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Over 0.5 @ +250
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OBJ Touchdown Pick

Odell has acclimated very nicely into this Rams offense. Many wondered if he would fit and he has done more than that as he's become a very important Contributor, especially with the Robert Woods injury. Stafford will look to him in the red zone and get him his Super Bowl touchdown.

I will also be keeping an eye on the Rams Tight End situation. Tyler Higbee is questionable with a knee injury, so backup Tight End Kendall Blanton may provide some value. During the regular season the Bengals gave up 96 receptions, and 1,083 yards to Tight Ends, both were bottom 5 in the NFL.

OBJ to Score a Touchdown

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Yes @ +140
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This should be a very entertaining Super Bowl with feel good stories all around, enjoy the game and remember to bet responsibly!