If there’s one thing we know about the Oilers this year, it’s that they’ll go down swinging. You could fairly call it a one-man-show, with McDavid carrying Edmonton this far, but that’s discrediting the solid rest of the team they have. That said, it has been difficult for the Oilers to create offense outside of the young star. But statistically, they should be doing better than they are. Prior to the Colorado series, the Oilers were scoring 4.3 goals per game in the playoffs, the highest figure in the NHL.
Now against a backup goalie they’ve only managed 8 goals over 3 games. They are due for a regression to the average, even against a great Avalanche defense. Add to that the desperation of being down 3-0 and the complacency of being up 3-0, and Edmonton should have the edge tonight. Even as the better team, it’s impossible to see this going to more than a goal difference for Colorado, so despite the -200, the Oilers puck line is extremely tempting.
Oilers +1.5 | -200 at Draft Kings