As you all know, I am a massive Real Madrid fan.
I have a couple futures positions open on Madrid to win the UCL this season, and I gave that play out for the FlashPicks futures article earlier this year. We are currently getting cash out offers ranging from 2.5x to 3x our stake. When it comes to cash out offers, always do what is right for your bankroll. I am personally going to ride my tickets because I think there is a better profit opportunity in hedging the position game to game.
Madrid will be without Militao at CB this game due to a yellow card accumulation suspension. He will be available for the second leg at City. Militao is one of the best CB’s on the planet and his defensive presence will surely be missed. Man City will be without Nathan Ake at LB/CB as well. Ake is a quality starter who defends well and plays a significant role on set pieces. City’s depth makes the loss of Ake less impactful than Madrid’s loss of Militao.
Madrid have been inconsistent lately and have picked up some bad losses against Girona and Real Sociedad in La Liga. Madrid have been playing a heavy rotation and giving a lot of guys off the bench time and opportunities. Madrid is coming into this match hot off a Copa del Rey title where they performed well and defeated Osasuna. Minus Militao, I am expecting a full strength Madrid squad eager to take the game to City at home.
Vini Jr. has been red hot recently notching an assist in all of his last six starts. He has a total of seven assists in his last six games played. Additionally, Vini has six assists in ten UCL games played this season. He has started nine of those ten matches. I LOVE taking him for a dime in this game. Another important stat for Vini I want to talk about is his SOT numbers. Vini has started 53 matches this season across all competitions. He has only failed to register a SOT in nine of those 53 starts. Some quick math gives us a roughly 83% hit rate for 1SOT. Vini has scored or assisted in every match he has started in UCL. I see a ton of value on his numbers here at home. We all remember Benzema and Rodrygo’s heroics last year in Madrid’s comeback victory over City. I like their numbers as well. I find it hard to believe anyone will be shutting Madrid out at home.