Capper Penguin's UFC 280 Pick - 10/22

UFC 280: Charles Oliveira v Islam Mackhachev

The value lies with Oliveira in this fight and let me explain why.

Believe it or not Oliveira is on a longer win streak than Islam and has fought much tougher opponents. Islam hasn't fought anyone in the top 5 while Oliveira has recently choked out Justin Gaethje and Dustin Pourier, knocked out Michael Chandler, and won unanimously vs Tony Ferguson. All of whom were in the top five at the time. Oliveira was right when he said that if it wasn't for Khabib in Islam's corner, Islam should've had one or two more fights before getting the chance at a title shot.

As much as Islam Mackhachev wants to be Khabib, he's not and although he's taken care of recent fighters, he's going into this title fight with a false confidence. This is Oliveira's main advantage as he never takes anything for granted. In terms of striking Oliveira is known to fight like a dog on the inside and although this could be potentially be Islam's main advantage, he likes to fight from the outside and measure his takedowns. Oliveira is vulnerable when he's trading shots because he welcomes violence, but I'm not convinced Islam can thrive in that kind of fight. The largest risk is Islam getting on top and winning by either ground and pound or staying on top of Oliveira long enough for a decision. I just don't see it being that easy with Oliveira's strong juju and there's always the risk of Oliveira doing something dangerous from his back.

Oliveira has been the underdog in two of his last four fights and he's in a prime position to shock the bookmaker's again vs a slightly overrated Islam Mackhachev.

Capper Penguin's Pick 🐧

caesars

CHARLES OLIVEIRA ML @ +160

⚡️ Penguin's Offer - Get a $1,250 Risk-Free Bet!
JOIN CAESARS
New Customers in AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MI, NJ, NY, PA, TN, VA, WV & WY.
Get Capper Penguin's latest picks straight to your inbox! 🐧
SUBSCRIBE TODAY
By subscribing you agree to our T&Cs & Privacy Policy and are happy to receive marketing from FlashPicks. 21+

Free Bets & Offers


🍗 Thanksgiving Offer 🏈 Bet $20, Get $100!
21+ in CO, VA, MI. Promo code GET100
Claim Now
Bet $5 & Get $150 in Free Bets 💰
AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MI, NJ, NY, PA, TN, VA, WY, WV 21+ only
CLAIM NOW
Bet $10 on any World Cup game & Win $200 When A Goal Is Scored ⚽️💰
Available in AZ, CO, DC, IA, IN, IL, KS, LA, MI, NJ, TN, VA, WV, WY. 21+ only
CLAIM OFFER
⚡️ Free Picks Newsletter ⚡️
By subscribing you agree to our T&Cs & Privacy Policy and are happy to receive marketing from FlashPicks. 21+
SUBSCRIBE TODAY

Covering a wide range of US sports, we aim to be the ultimate sports betting website. Here you’ll find picks and analysis for the biggest sports across the USA.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537).

21+
800Gambler - Helpline: 1-800 GAMBLER
Disclaimer

FlashPicks is owned and operated by Checkd Media. Contact [email protected] for more information.

© 2012 - 2022 Copyright FlashPicks. All Rights reserved. v2.8.1 (1)