College Football Same-Game Parlay, Player Props, and Best Bets, Week 13, Thursday – November 20

Thursday night’s college football game features a Sun Belt Conference match-up between the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (4-6, 3-3) and the Arkansas State Red Wolves (5-5, 4-2). Keep reading to check out our same-game parlay, player props, and best bet picks for the game.

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Same Game Parlay (SGP)

• UNDER 54 at -110

Neither team is strong defensively, but they’ll be aided by sloppy weather conditions as inclement weather is expected. Sloppy weather typically translates into run-dominant offensive play, a fairly slow pace of play, and a low-scoring contest.

• Zylan Perry (Louisiana), OVER 64.5 Rushing Yards at -110

Perry hasn’t gone OVER this mark since the Marshall game back in September. But in three of the four he has played in since, he rushed for 55-59 yards. That tells me that if he got an additional two or three carries, there’s a good chance he surpasses 64.5 rushing yards.

If the weather ends up being as nasty as expected, he could certainly see the ball 18+ times.

• Jalen Raynor (Arkansas State), OVER 40.5 Rushing Yards at -115

Raynor has struggled to gain traction in the run game the last couple of weeks but easily covered it in the three prior. Louisiana has struggled against the run this season, giving up nearly 200 yards per game on the ground. Factor in the weather conditions, and Raynor will get the carries he needs.

• SGP Odds: +825

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• Lunch Winfield (Louisiana), UNDER 179.5 Passing Yards at -115

He has gone OVER this mark in his last three games, and the Arkansas State pass defense is nothing special. But with the weather not expected to be conducive to the passing game, look for Louisiana to run much more often than pass, keeping Winfield UNDER this TOTAL.

• Jaylen Raynor, UNDER 268.5 Passing Yards at -115

Raynor went well over this mark last week when he threw for 331 vs. Southern Missouri but has otherwise gone OVER it just two other times and not since September.

Louisiana ‘s defense is decent against the pass, but terrible against the run. So, look for Arkansas State to run more and pass less.

• Louisiana ML at +120

Both teams have something to play for: Arkanas State needs one win to become bowl eligible, and Louisiana needs to win both remaining games. But with inclement weather expected, the conditions could strongly favor the team that can run the ball better, which is the Ragin’ Cajuns.

Early in the season, the weather doesn’t end up being much of a factor. But late in the year like this, when conditions can get real sloppy via rain/snow and its cold, inclement weather can play a role. Consequently, both teams will likely focus on the run game and ball control.

That doesn’t mean they can’t or will not pass, but don’t expect them to do so much.

Point Spread: Louisiana +2.5 (-105) vs. Arkansas State -2.5 (-115)

Moneyline: Louisiana +120 vs. Arkansas State -140

TOTAL (over/under): 54 (-110/-110)