The first CFP rankings were released this week, and the SEC was well represented. With the playoffs potentially on the line, the stakes are even higher, making betting on our SEC same-game parlays, player props, and Best Bets even more exciting.
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Had Missouri not lost Beau Pribula to an injury, this game would be much tougher to call. As is, it will not be an easy win for the Aggies. Missouri still has a stout defense and a solid run game, but A&M’s defense is not one you want a freshman QB making his first start against.
A&M has a solid run defense but is prone to giving up big plays. With the passing game suffering, Missouri will undoubtedly lean a bit more on Hardy, making it likely he gets enough carries to go OVER this TOTAL.
It’s going to be harder against Missouri’s solid run defense, but Reed has recorded a rushing touchdown in his last four games and has been a great weapon for the Aggies in the red zone.
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LSU’s defense is still solid, with more interceptions than passing touchdowns allowed. That will not discourage Alabama from doing what they do, but look for the Tide to take advantage of LSU’s weak interior defensive line in the run game. Simpson has gone UNDER this TOTAL for his last three games.
Georgia has a solid offensive line that should be able to push around a Mississippi State front that has struggled against the run (94th in the country); Arkansas gashed them for 239 yards on the ground last week. Bowens has gone OVER this mark in four of his last five games.
Auburn’s offense has been going nowhere fast in recent weeks; last weekend’s 3-point performance against Kentucky is proof of that. Vanderbilt is one of the best teams in the country and is looking to get back on track after last weekend’s disappointing loss to Texas.
When two struggling teams meet, the last thing you tend to see is fireworks. Neither offense has played well or consistently. Don’t expect them to do so in this game.
A&M may have dodged a bullet with Missouri losing its starting quarterback. The Aggies will cover, but it may still be a closer game than many expected.
I get the feeling that Alabama has been trying a little harder to establish the run the last few weeks, leading to lower passing totals for Ty Simpson.
I’m going to take a good running back (Bowens) and a low TOTAL against a poor run defense (Mississippi State) any day.
After losing to Texas, Vanderbilt needs to win out to have a shot at the CFP.
