$FML’s +307 SGPx Promo Play - 5/6

Note: I structured my bet this way to unlock the 33% boost. If you’re not on Draftkings, consider pivoting to the Game Total O7.5 instead, or Kluber O5.5 Hits Allowed!

Kluber’s allowing just 0.256 batting average on balls in play (BABIP) through 6 starts! That number was 0.310+ each of the last 3 seasons with defensive shifts. Now they’re banned, but the effect hasn’t hit his numbers yet. Look for the Phillies to record at least 5+ hits, score 2+ runs and Boston’s offense to stay hot!

90 degree temps. 14 MPH winds blowing out to left-center. 2 struggling pitchers?! 1 dream.

Per RotoGrinders WeatherEdge: these conditions boost home run potential by +17%! That’s based on 73 past games with similar weather at Kaufman Stadium.

Kansas City’s offense ranks 7th vs. Left-Handed Pitching (LHP) in the last 2 weeks (as measured by wRC+). Oakland southpaw Ken Waldichuk’s got an A+ name, but his talents will be tested. He’s surrendered 3+ earned runs in 5 of 6 starts this year.

I repect Royals Pitcher Brady Singer, but he’s really struggling (8.49 ERA / 7.09 xERA). And betting the Game Total “Over” improved to 21-11-1 in Oakland games last night (3rd best ROI out of 30 teams).

To close this out… I’m heading to the ice! The Over has been nearly AUTOMATIC in Edmonton playoff games so far. 6 of their 7 games saw 6+ goals, and 5 of the 7 had 7+. Tonight they’re desperate to avoid going down 2-0 in the series. Both teams are relatively rested, and Game 2 might play tight initially. However, once a goal is scored, look for the flood gates to open.

I got +307 with the boost and put a full unit on it! If I didn’t have the boost, I’d shave the bet size in half (risk 0.5U)

Just fyi. Not sure how I’ll account for this ticket in my official picks results on Twitter given it’s cross-sport; let’s cross that bridge when we get there.