@RyanPropz Red Sox @ Mariners Pick - 6/12

Ryan Dolan | @ryanpropz

Boston Red Sox (31-29) @ Seattle Mariners (27-32)

Last year's Cy Young winner, Robbie Ray, has not enjoyed his transition to Seattle. He has gotten hammered so far this season leading to a 4.97 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. He has allowed 3 or more earned runs in 5 straight starts and allowed at least 1 home run in 7 straight starts. He is in the 7th percentile in exit velocity allowed, 27th percentile in hard hit%, 24th percentile in barrell %, and 37th percentile in walk %. Those are all just fancy ways of saying opposing batters are either walking or slaughtering the baseball out of Ray’s hand. This afternoon, Ray faces a brutal matchup. When Ray is out of the game, Seattle will bring in the league’s 10th worst bullpen ERA. The Bullpen has also allowed the 5th most home runs in the league. 

Boston is 6th in the league in runs per game, and 7th in runs per game on the road. They are 4th in batting average and 8th in OPS. They have been great against left handed pitching as well. They are 6th in the league in BA vs southpaws as well as 6th in OPS. Boston loves day games as they are 3rd in BA and 6th in OPS during the day.  In their one game vs Ray so far this season, they got 4 off of him and 7 for the game. They have 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 10 games despite playing in some brutal ballparks. I like this Boston offense to continue to dominate and score 4+ runs.

Ryan's Pick

betmgm

BOSTON TEAM TOTAL OVER 3.5 RUNS @ -125

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