NBA Coach Of The Year Odds

With just 35 days remaining until the 2022-23 NBA season begins, it is time to slowly begin our pre-season analysis as all the dominos start falling into place.

Just like any other pre-season bet, guessing the coach of the year is no easy task, especially in a narrative driven league like the NBA. If we were to simplify things and look at historic data of past winners, we can notice that the winner of this award is almost exclusively the coach of one of the four best teams at the end of the regular season. However, there are no guarantees.

For example, last season we had the Suns’ Monty Williams win the award with a 64-18 record, while the season before that it was Tom Thibodeau who got the award after leading the Knicks to a 41-31 record and a playoff berth as the 4th seed in the East. So on top of records and narratives, improvement from past years also plays a factor in determining the winner of this award.

Injuries also have a big impact of teams’ records and subsequentially the winner of this award. Last season LA Clippers head coach Tyronn Lue defied the odds all year long playing without his two best players and finished with a 42-40 record, receiving 2nd and 3rd place votes for the award. It’s hard to predict injuries though, so I wouldn’t put too much thinking into that aspect of this award.

• Ime Udoka +700
• Chris Finch +1000
• Taylor Jenkins +1200
• Monty Williams +1200
• Steve Kerr +1200
• Jason Kidd +1200
• Tyronn Lue +1200
• Michael Malone +1400
• Erik Spoelstra +1400
• Darvin Ham +1600

As mentioned earlier, Ty Lue did wonders with a limited Clippers roster last season, but with both Leonard and George expected to play a full season this year expectations are once again sky high for the “other” team in LA. They have one of the deepest rosters in the league and after the addition of John Wall and his struggles over the past years, turning things around while winning 58 or more games would put Lue near the top of the list of potential winners. The fact that he is yet to win this award should also work in his favor, so I think at +1200 odds Lue is a solid pick here.

Do you believe in fairytales? At +2500 Steve Nash has all the necessary elements to win this award, that is if everything goes according to plan. First the Brooklyn Nets have to stay healthy all season long, something that hasn’t been the case in years past. They are almost definitely going to improve on their No. 7 seed from last season, even a Top 3 seed isn’t out of the question based purely on talent.

Kevin Durant also tried to get his coach fired this offseason, if the Big 3 gels together well and this team wins 58+ games, I think Nash could have a serious case at winning this award. However, it could all go sideways very quickly for them, hence why Nash is priced at +2500 to win the award.

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