Bet Slip

No Bets Added

Capper Penguin's MNF Bears @ Patriots Pick - 10/24

image

MNF: Bears @ Patriots

The Bears pass defense is elite, BUT their rushing defense is SECOND WORST in the NFL and the Patriots love to run the ball. Let me paint the picture. The Bears passing defense has only allowed opposing quarterbacks 178.7 passing yards per game this season, but have allowed almost as many rushing yards per game at 163 rushing yards. Luckily for the Patriots (and us), they thrive on a grind it out, running affair. The Patriots average 131 yards rushing yards per game with a big uptick at home averaging 160.5 RYPG.

The only reason this line is so low is because Damien Harris returns to the lineup and will (at most) take half of Dre's carries, but Dre covered in his last 3 with Damien Harris playing including at home vs a very tough Baltimore rush defense (73 yards on 12 carries). Dre has been absolutely eating on the ground with or without Damien covering in his L4/4 averaging 94 RYPG making me believe that he will still see the bulk of the carries. Even if he sees half the touches and the Patriots maintain their normal 131 RYPG, he'll end with about 65 rushing, but given the big uptick at home vs the league's second worst rushing defense, he should have no problem covering 60. Add in the fact that we have a very favorable game script with the Patriots favored by 8.5, Rhamondre is locked and loaded for 60+ rushing.

Best odds on FD.

Capper Penguin's Pick 🐧

fanduel logo
Rhamondre Stevenson 60+ Alt rushing yards @ -118
Penguin's $1,000 No Sweat
FanDuel Logo

Penguin's Promo: Bet $5 on Any Moneyline & Get $150 Bonus Bets

New users in AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, PA, TN, VA, WY, WV. 21+ only

CLAIM NOW
FlashPicks Logo

Get Capper Penguin's latest picks straight to your inbox! 🐧

By subscribing you agree to our T&Cs & Privacy Policy and are happy to receive marketing from FlashPicks. 21+

SUBSCRIBE TODAY
Baltimore Ravens logo

BAL

Kansas City Chiefs logo

KC

NFL | Fri 09/06, 12:20 AM
Green Bay Packers logo

GB

Philadelphia Eagles logo

PHI

NFL | Sat 09/07, 12:15 AM
Arizona Cardinals logo

ARI

Buffalo Bills logo

BUF

NFL | Sun 09/08, 5:00 PM
Carolina Panthers logo

CAR

New Orleans Saints logo

NO

NFL | Sun 09/08, 5:00 PM
Houston Texans logo

HOU

Indianapolis Colts logo

IND

NFL | Sun 09/08, 5:00 PM
Jacksonville Jaguars logo

JAX

Miami Dolphins logo

MIA

NFL | Sun 09/08, 5:00 PM
Minnesota Vikings logo

MIN

New York Giants logo

NYG

NFL | Sun 09/08, 5:00 PM
New England Patriots logo

NE

Cincinnati Bengals logo

CIN

NFL | Sun 09/08, 5:00 PM
Pittsburgh Steelers logo

PIT

Atlanta Falcons logo

ATL

NFL | Sun 09/08, 5:00 PM
Tennessee Titans logo

TEN

Chicago Bears logo

CHI

NFL | Sun 09/08, 5:00 PM