NFL Expert Picks

Our NFL Picks page offers expert-led bets for all levels. Find the best value in popular markets like point spreads, totals, and moneylines below.

NFL Picks are our curated list of the best NFL wagers available right now. Picks are created by experts in the field, with each recommendation backed by research-driven evidence.

Any factors that may come into play during a matchup are considered by our NFL Picks team, including recent head-to-head history, home advantage, player form, and much more. So, rather than blindly following a hunch or spending time hunting for detailed statistics and crunching numbers – simply refer to this page to get free expert NFL Picks.

For example, you’ll likely come across NFL Betting Picks centered around the Dallas Cowboys during the regular season but notice a sharp drop-off once the Playoffs get started. This is because recent Dallas sides are known for overperforming from September to early January, and underperforming in straight-knockout games.

NFL point spreads let you predict the margin of victory and defeat within a game. This type of betting market is among the most popular in the online betting world – primarily because it’s a simple yet slightly more complex way to wager compared to more basic options.

One major reason to take advantage of point spreads is when you believe one team will be competitive enough to remain within a specific points deficit despite losing. Or, you can back the other side to remain ahead by a set number of points.

Here’s an example of an NFL Point Spread Pick involving a game between the New England Patriots and New York Jets:

• New England Patriots (+6)
• New York Jets (-6)

The ‘-’ tied to the Jets tells us that they are favorites. Bets on this pick win if the Jets beat the Patriots by 6 points or more.

On the other hand, the ‘+’ next to the Patriots represents the fact that Tom Brady’s former side are underdogs. Should they lose by no more than 6 points, wagers on that selection win.

In the event of a tie, you will get your money back as a ‘push’. Basically, the sportsbook treats the wager as though it never happened – and you’re free to use your stake on new picks.

Our experts determine which outfit has the best chance of winning a point spread bet — commonly known as “covering the spread” — by analyzing recent matchups, week-to-week box scores, and other relevant data. Statistics are core to every NFL Point Spread Pick on FlashPicks.

In NFL betting, the terms ‘Totals’ and ‘Over/Under’ refer to the number of points to be scored between both sides. This market is pretty simple – you just need to choose whether the final score will have more than or less than X number of points.

View some examples of NFL Totals Picks, below:

• Philadelphia Eagles @ New Orleans Saints – Over 49.5
• Miami Dolphins @ Seattle Seahawks – Under 41.5

As you can see, neither outcome relies on a particular team to win. Instead, these wagers focus on the game as a whole.

Multiple elements enter the equation when we evaluate the best NFL totals, such as:

• Team Performance: ‘Over’ bets involving lesser-quality but high-scoring teams may be more valuable than punts on matchups comprised of top-tier outfits.
• Defense: A good defense is often the difference between a low-scoring and high-scoring fixture. We examine injury records, defensive setups, and statistical figures like sacks and interceptions to decide on ‘Over’ or ‘Under’ NFL Picks.
• Weather Conditions: Certain teams perform better in the warmer months and locations, whereas others excel in the winter. For instance, Florida’s Miami Dolphins have historically struggled in the cold yet shone in the heat. Dome-based games are typically unaffected by weather – but teams who play at home in a dome can struggle away in cold conditions.
• Historical Trends: Teams that boast top-drawer offenses may be stifled by the same opponent year-on-year. That’s why head-to-head scoring records are crucial during the research process ahead of an NFL Totals Pick.

For more deep dive into Totals and Over/Under, you can check out our "Over Under Betting Guide - What Is An Over Under?"

The moneyline market represents the simplest form of NFL betting. In short: you choose which team will win the game. If your prediction is correct, the wager wins. Here’s an example:

• Carolina Panthers to Beat Las Vegas Raiders @ +190
• Las Vegas Raiders to Beat Carolina Panthers @ -230

Again, the ‘+’ alerts us to the underdogs, and the ‘-’ refers to the favorites. The greater the figure tied to the underdogs, the more improbable the outcome. In this case, the Carolina Panthers are expected to lose to at the Raiders.

Connecting the dots to create worthwhile NFL Moneyline Picks is the difficult part. The NFL is a tight league – with all 32 franchises operating on a similar playing field virtually every year. To decide on moneyline selections that make sense, our experts account for:

• Team Form: Results are all that matter here – so we run through each team’s recent form to see who’s on the up, which games look tightest, and if a particular side is enduring a rough patch.
• Injuries: Losing a player to injury can cause an entire campaign to collapse. Hence, having vital individuals available for the week’s fixtures is a major element for moneyline selections; quarterbacks, wide receivers, and offensive linemen being the three primary areas our team evaluates.
• Head-to-Head Matchups: If one side has consistently had the opposition’s number over recent seasons, it’s worth considering if that trend will continue this time around. The month and location also enter this conversation, as certain situations repeatedly affect some fixtures.

At FlashPicks, our NFL Picks span all the biggest markets. From the very beginning of the regular season up to February’s Super Bowl, we publish data-led picks centered around the best bang for your buck.

Feel free to use our Smart Picks tool to see how your NFL selections could fare before spending a dime – and then click on any of our NFL Picks here to grab your odds instantly.

Check back to this page each week for refreshed NFL Expert Picks across each of the season’s fixtures.

To make sure you get the best value for your pick, betting with the right book is important. See below the top 3 books we think are best for NFL Bets. For more check out NFL Sportsbooks

Our NFL sports betting experts have got you covered. We cover a wide array of NFL bets:

• NFL Parlays
• NFL Prop Bets
• NFL Best Bets
• Latest NFL News, Picks And Analysis
• NFL Futures
• Super Bowl

Also make sure to check out our top FanDuel Hilo Tips , we also have a full list of the best NFL Sportsbooks, plus an NFL Sports Betting Guide.

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