@FastMoneyLabs' TNF Pick: Jaguars @ Jets - 12/22

Cold. Wet. Windy. Jets Defense. Zach Wilson. Mix those seven words together in a pot, dial up the heat and hold your nose, Over bettors. Tonight's matchup reeks like an Under, and the stench is pungent.

While most of the value has been squeezed from the Game Total market, I found a related bet to attack at Draftkings, and it's sneaky.

Will the game be tied again after 0-0?

That is the question. Here's my answer: YES IT WILL. This matchup has playoff implications for both teams and a tight spread. While the Jets offense stinks, their defense is elite. These two things combine to make Jets extremely competitive and close. As a result: betting YES on this prop market has been extremely profitable in the last 2 months. It's currently on a 6-1 run in their last 7 games (and should be 7-1 in their last 8 if not for a missed extra point by the lowly Broncos in Week 7).

While betting YES has been less profitable in Jaguars games, it's cashed in back-to-back weeks. Layer on the Jets trend, weather situation, low game total and tight spread. Sprinkle the word YES on top, throw it in the Oven and dial up the heat. If you’re still holding your nose, release, take a whiff, and tell me you don’t smell money.