@FastMoneyLabs’ Week 4 TD Scorer Pick

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Jamaal Williams (DET) Anytime TD (-109) vs. Seattle

He’s already scored 4 TDs through 3 weeks as a backup (tied for league lead), and while I didn’t have that on my Bingo card, I feel it needs to be immediately added after Head Coach Dan Campbell’s media comments today, which revealed: the team’s #1 RB D’Andre Swift is “probably out” this week with an injury, and their best receiver and top red zone target, Amon-Ra St. Brown, has also been officially ruled out.

Given these injury circumstances, Williams’ current form, the matchup (Seahawks defense ranks bottom 11 in most Football Outsiders DVOA tables), and the fact the Lions are home favorites, this Williams TD prop is oozing with value at -109.

Most books already dropped this down to the -130/-140 range, but you can still get -109 at Caesars Sportsbook (at least as of the time I’m typing this). I locked it in there to win a unit and recommend doing the same (bet down to -130).

The Pick: Jamaal Williams (DET) Anytime TD (-109) vs. Seattle

odds via Caesars Sportsbook

FML
Browns

CLE

-110

+5.5

Bengals

CIN

-110

-5.5

NFL | Sun 12/11, 6:00 PM
Eagles

PHI

-105

-7.5

Giants

NYG

-115

+7.5

NFL | Sun 12/11, 6:00 PM
Jaguars

JAX

-110

+3.5

Titans

TEN

-110

-3.5

NFL | Sun 12/11, 6:00 PM
Jets

NYJ

-110

+10

Bills

BUF

-110

-10

NFL | Sun 12/11, 6:00 PM
Ravens

BAL

-110

+2

Steelers

PIT

-110

-2

NFL | Sun 12/11, 6:00 PM
Texans

HOU

-110

+17.5

Cowboys

DAL

-110

-17.5

NFL | Sun 12/11, 6:00 PM
Vikings

MIN

-110

+1.5

Lions

DET

-110

-1.5

NFL | Sun 12/11, 6:00 PM
Chiefs

KC

-110

-9.5

Broncos

DEN

-110

+9.5

NFL | Sun 12/11, 9:05 PM
Buccaneers

TB

-115

+3.5

49ers

SF

-105

-3.5

NFL | Sun 12/11, 9:25 PM
Panthers

CAR

-110

+3.5

Seahawks

SEA

-110

-3.5

NFL | Sun 12/11, 9:25 PM

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