FlashPicks Insider's NFL DFS Week 4 Guide - 9/30

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NFL DFS WEEK 4 GUIDE (Sunday 1pm Main Slate)

There are two keys when it comes to taking down big field tournaments. One is game stacking - this means playing multiple players from one game as you believe that game will have one of the highest totals on the slate. Stacking gives you the best chance to take advantage of that high total. The second is finding the low ownership plays that end up exploding. You will shoot up the contest leaderboard if you have a player at 1 percent ownership with 20- 30 points. I will be using these rules to provide you with my favourite game stack and two to three sneaky low ownership plays (we can’t predict exact ownership but I will be targeting players that are projected to be under 10% ownership.

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Favorite Game Stack - Cardinals/Panthers

So the obvious best game stack this week is Bill vs. Ravens. However there's no way I would write that up as every player in that game will be over 15%-20% owned. I am always looking for a much more contrarian option. I want low owned players so if they boom we fly up the leaderboard. I have successfully found my spot this week. Yes it’s Panthers/Cardinals - We will be stacking the Panther side. They wont be high owned because Baker hasn't done anything this season. This has made the whole stack insanely cheap in this great spot. The Cardinals defense is MID at best. They have allowed 20+ points every game and have allowed the 8th most fantasy points to quarterbacks. McCaffrey is also dealing with a thigh injury. He has barely practiced this week and I cant see the Panthers running him into the ground this early in the season. Given the Cardinals poor pass defense the Panthers will let it fly with Baker - see below for my stack ranked!

  1. Baker Mayfield - $7,400
  2. DJ Moore - $6,100
  3. Robby Anderson - $5,700

Bring Back

  1. Marquise Brown - $7,700
Browns

CLE

-110

o46.5

Bengals

CIN

-110

u46.5

NFL | Sun 12/11, 6:00 PM
Eagles

PHI

-110

o44.5

Giants

NYG

-110

u44.5

NFL | Sun 12/11, 6:00 PM
Jaguars

JAX

-110

o41

Titans

TEN

-110

u41

NFL | Sun 12/11, 6:00 PM
Jets

NYJ

-110

o43

Bills

BUF

-110

u43

NFL | Sun 12/11, 6:00 PM
Ravens

BAL

-110

o36.5

Steelers

PIT

-110

u36.5

NFL | Sun 12/11, 6:00 PM
Texans

HOU

-110

o44

Cowboys

DAL

-110

u44

NFL | Sun 12/11, 6:00 PM
Vikings

MIN

-110

o51.5

Lions

DET

-110

u51.5

NFL | Sun 12/11, 6:00 PM
Chiefs

KC

-110

o44

Broncos

DEN

-110

u44

NFL | Sun 12/11, 9:05 PM
Buccaneers

TB

-110

o37

49ers

SF

-110

u37

NFL | Sun 12/11, 9:25 PM
Panthers

CAR

-110

o44.5

Seahawks

SEA

-110

u44.5

NFL | Sun 12/11, 9:25 PM

Sneaky Plays with Short Explanations

Robert Tonyan - $4,900

Short and sweet with this. Packers will have to pass the ball as Pats D does a pretty good job with handling the run. Tonyan has 5+ targets in 2 of 3 games. This is a good value play at TE if you need the extra savings. TE is very weak so i don't have any problem going here.


Austin Ekeler - $8,400

I know I know "THIS ISN'T A SNEAKY PLAY" You would be surprised. Ekeler hasn't done anything this year. Seems like the Chargers are trying to save him to last throughout the season. But that doesnt help them if they don't play in the playoffs. They are now 1-2 they need to win this game. Texans allow the 2nd most points to running backs in the league. All this being said we have to play Ekeler at this price. I'm hoping people will look at his game log and get scared off.

I wish you good luck ladies and gentleman.

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