The Lions are well-rested off a bye week, but their defense limps into Week 7 allowing:
- 4th most yards per carry to RB (5.46)
- 2nd most rush yards/game to RB (127.7)
- Most rush touchdowns/game to RB (1.60)
Dak Prescott is also back, and his presence helps re-establish the pass threat in Dallas offense. If he rips off a few clean passes early, it should open up the field and improve running lanes available for his running backs to attack, and the Dallas backfield is potent, featuring:
- The 9th best RB in YPC (Tony Pollard)
- Plus an all-time great at vulturing TDs (Ezekiel Elliot)
Detroit’s also surrendering 33.2 rush yards per game to opposing QBs (most in league), and Dak scrambled for 10+ yards in 5 of his last 7 starts. He’s playing with a surgically repaired finger, but that shouldn’t impact his running, should it?
Pack all this into a Same Game Parlay (SGP) at Caesars Sportsbook, and out pops +590. I bet 0.5 units (i.e. half normal bet size) to win 2.95.