@MattyChucks' Week 3 Monday Night Football Picks - 9/26

Matty Chucks | @MattyChucks

Guys, I am going to be honest.

I slept like a baby last night and I am still recovering from this weekend. However, the Giants are 2-0 and no one can take that away from me. The Giants are hosting their division rivals from Dallas in this Monday Night Showdown. The game is basically a pick 'em and the total is set at 39. We are seeing some money on this under 39 and honestly these prime time games have been low scoring and horrible to watch.

Let's take a look at these primetime games.

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Primetime Games - Under?

Week 1:

  • TNF: Bills 31 - Rams 10 = 41 points
  • SNF: Bucs 19 - Cowboys 3 = 22 points
  • MNF: Seahawks 17 - Broncos 16 = 33 points

Week 2:

  • TNF: Chiefs 27 - Chargers 24 = 51 points
  • SNF: Packers 27 - Bears 10 = 37 points
  • MNF: Bills 41 - Titans 7 = 48 pints
  • MNF: Eagles 24 - Vikings 7 = 31 points

Week 3:

  • TNF: Browns 29 - Steelers 17 = 46 points
  • SNF: Broncos 11 - 49ers 10 = 21 points

This brings us to an average of 36.7 points per game on primetime. If you take away the fluke fumble for a touchdown at the end of the Browns vs. Steelers game, it brings the average to a clean 36 points per game. The average margin of victory is also 13.6 points per game. We have had blowouts and low scoring games through 3 weeks here. Honestly this game might have the best chance of a nail biter down the stretch out of any prime time game this season.

Raiders

LV

-110

o44.5

Rams

LAR

-110

u44.5

NFL | Fri 12/09, 1:15 AM
Browns

CLE

-110

o47

Bengals

CIN

-110

u47

NFL | Sun 12/11, 6:00 PM
Eagles

PHI

-110

o45.5

Giants

NYG

-110

u45.5

NFL | Sun 12/11, 6:00 PM
Jaguars

JAX

-110

o41.5

Titans

TEN

-110

u41.5

NFL | Sun 12/11, 6:00 PM
Jets

NYJ

-110

o44

Bills

BUF

-110

u44

NFL | Sun 12/11, 6:00 PM
Ravens

BAL

-110

o37

Steelers

PIT

-110

u37

NFL | Sun 12/11, 6:00 PM
Texans

HOU

-110

o45

Cowboys

DAL

-110

u45

NFL | Sun 12/11, 6:00 PM
Vikings

MIN

-110

o53

Lions

DET

-110

u53

NFL | Sun 12/11, 6:00 PM
Chiefs

KC

-110

o43

Broncos

DEN

-110

u43

NFL | Sun 12/11, 9:05 PM
Buccaneers

TB

-110

o37

49ers

SF

-110

u37

NFL | Sun 12/11, 9:25 PM

Dallas Cowboys (1-1) @ New York Giants (2-0)

The Giants have been involved in 2 close games so far this season. They won on a missed FG vs. Tennessee and beat the Panthers with a late field goal to win by 3 points. On the other end the Cowboys lost 19-3 in week 1 where they lost Dak Prescott, but then rallied behind Cooper Rush to beat the Bengals 20-17.

The Cowboys are 9-1 in their last 10 games vs. the Giants. This has been through multiple coaching staffs and completely different rosters, but the Cowboys have had their way with New York nonetheless. This is the first time that the Giants are facing them with a winning record since before those last 10 games.

The Cowboys have better DVOA numbers than the Giants through 2 weeks. The Cowboys are the 14th best team according to DVOA, while the Giants come in at 20th. The Giants basically only have good numbers with their run game due to Saquon Barkley. This Cowboys defense is really solid. They have a decent rush defense, but a very good secondary and pass defense. This makes me love Saquon in this spot as they know they have to get him going to have a chance here.

The Cowboys on the other hand have great rushing offense and poor passing offense due to playing the Bucs and Bengals in the first 2 weeks who have great defenses. Cooper Rush utilized Tony Pollard a lot with 4 catches on 7 targets for 55 yards in week 2 and I think he will be a prime focus again with Rush in the pocket.

Pollard should get going with an increase in touches as well as they should look to keep the tandem going with Zeke to not over work one of them. Barkley has averaged 4.5 receptions through 2 weeks and I think this is a prime spot for him to get a lot of work in the short passing game.

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Matty's Picks

This game makes me lean to the under because that is how these primetime games have been going and also I think that both teams will run the ball in bunches and play a short passing game.

I will be taking Tony Pollard over 2.5 receptions (-110) on MGM and Saquon Barkley over 3.5 receptions (-105) on BetMGM as well.

MattyChucks' MNF Pick #1

betmgm

TONY POLLARD OVER 2.5 RECEPTIONS @ -110

MattyChucks' MNF Pick #2

betmgm

SAQUON BARKLEY OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS @ -105

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