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NFL Offensive Player of the Year Odds

Generally given to the best offensive player of the season, the NFL’s Offensive Player of the Year award can be a tough nut to crack. While pure talent is needed to join the conversation for the award, many other unpredictable factors come into play like injuries/missed games and the quality of the team around a player.

As the game of football changes into a more pass-centric one, we’ve seen a new trend emerge for this prestigious award. The award made its debut in 1972 and we’ve seen 50 winners since. Out of those 50 awards: 26 were given to running backs, 20 to quarterbacks, and four to wide receivers. Two of the past three OPOY winners have been wide receivers and so far it seems that wideouts are dominating the OPOY market again this year.

Let’s take a look at how the 2022 Offensive Player of the Year market is shaping up!

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Offensive Player of the Year: The Favorites

Justin Jefferson (WR) +600

+600 as of 10/21/22

The Minnesota Vikings’ wide receiver has taken the league by storm since he was drafted in 2020. The numbers are there for Justin Jefferson and they've all been trending upwards. Comparing JJ’s 2020 season to his 2021 season: receptions went up (88 to 108), yards per game went up (87.5 to 95.1), and touchdowns went up (7 to 10). In the Vikings’ first game of the 2022 season last week, Jefferson put up a monster performance, tallying a career-high 184 yards along with two touchdowns against the Packers (who supposedly have one of the best secondary defenses in the league). While there’s still nearly an entire season left to play where anything can happen (and an unpredictable Kirk Cousins as his QB), Justin Jefferson looks completely unstoppable and I’m surprised that the 3rd year star wideout isn’t a heavier favorite than he already is.

Cooper Kupp (WR) +900

+700 as of 10/21/22

Last year’s Offensive Player of the Year currently sits as the second most favorite. 2021 was historic for Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Cooper Kupp who ended the season with 145 receptions (1st), 1,947 receiving yards (1st), 114.5 yards per game (1st), and 16 touchdowns (1st). That season saw the forming of one of the league’s most lethal duos in Matt Stafford and Kupp and resulted in Cooper being the only the third receiver to ever win Offensive Player of the Year. The Rams lost some receiving talent in the offseason and we expect Cooper Kupp to see even more passes as the season progresses.

Stefon Diggs (WR) +900

+800 as of 10/21/22

It seems like Stefon Diggs has found his perfect fit with the Buffalo Bills. Since he was traded from the Vikings in 2020, Diggs has recorded his two best seasons in terms of receiving yards. So far in the 2022 season the 8th year wideout has been phenomenal - posting four touchdowns (Currently 1st) and 270 yards while averaging ten receptions per game on an 87% catch rate. It’s safe to say that MVP-favorite Josh Allen has a favorite receiver in Stefon DIggs and this duo is slated for an impeccable season.

Insider's OPOY Pick

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Stefon Diggs @ +900
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Offensive Player of the Year: Dark Horses

Jalen Hurts (QB) +1400

+500 as of 10/21/22

Okay, hear us out on this one.

This season might see Hurts become an objectively Top 5 quarterback in the league. The Philadelphia Eagles look like a very dangerous team so far this season and it’s clear that the Philly QB is the X-factor behind their success. With some much needed improvements made in the receiving department, Jalen Hurts has all the necessary tools needed to tear up the league & two weeks in, it’s already showing. While I currently can’t see anyone but Josh Allen winning this year’s MVP, I think the Eagles will have a monster season and all fingers will be pointing to Jalen Hurts for some type of award - hopefully the Offensive Player of the Year award.

Saquon Barkley (RB) +2000

+1400 as of 10/21/22

While it’s still too early in the season to tell if the Giants are actually a good team this season, we all know Saquon Barkley is a very good running back. So far Barkley is leading the league in rushing yards per game with 118 yards. If (and that’s a big if) Big Blue can continue defying the odds throughout the season with Saquon Barkley as the focal point of their offense, Barkley has a great chance at taking home this year’s Offensive Player of the Year.

Insider's OPOY Dark Horse Pick

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Jalen Hurts @ +1400
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How to Bet on Offensive Player of the Year

Looking to bet on the 2022 NFL Offensive Player of the Year?

On most sportsbooks, you’ll find Offensive Player of the Year in the NFL section under a title like “Awards” or “Season Awards”.

This is a Futures pick, so you can expect it to be in your active bets till the end of the season!

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