Three $FML winners from his last four articles at -120, +321 & +181. Time for another cash with this +154 Best Bet for Wednesday night's NHL action!
Three $FML winners from his last four articles at -120, +321 & +181. Time for another cash with this +154 Best Bet for Wednesday night's NHL action!
By subscribing you agree to our T&Cs & Privacy Policy and are happy to receive marketing from FlashPicks. 21+
SUBSCRIBE TODAYMentioned on Twitter yesterday and want to reiterate: Nichushkin’s been reunited with superstar Nathan MacKinnon in 5v5. I find this noteworthy, since Nichushkin’s shot prop thrives in this lineup, at least historically.
See the differences in hit rates at the o/u 2.5 line with and without Mackinnon as a linemate:
Here’s my best attempt to explain the split in plain English: MacKinnon’s an absolute force in 5v5. When he’s on the ice, the Avalanche dominate puck possession; and puck possession correlates with shot attempts. MacKinnon’s also got a cannon for a shot, and defenders need to respect it. He draws extra attention in the offensive zone, which helps create space for his linemates. And when you leave Big Mac’s linemates open: he will find them, and they will exploit it.
Nichushkin’s clearly been terrific in the wingman role alongside #29. He’s also been a consistent performer on the road this season, clearing the 2.5 line in 75% of away games, including once already in Minnesota.
Tonight’s a back-to-back (B2B) situation for the Avalanche, but I’m not too worried about it. Nichushkin’s 3+ shot prop is 5-1 (83% hit rate, average 3.7 SOG) in his last 6 B2Bs.
Deposit required. Bonus Bets winnings are added to Bonus Bets balance. Bonus Bet wager excluded from returns. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply. CO, NJ, OH, VA, IA & KY only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-Gambler. 21+
CLAIM NOWTrivia question of the day… Who ranks 4th out of 656 NHL players in Points per 60 minutes in 5v5 this season? (excluding players with < 200 minutes ice time).
Surprise! It’s Jeff Skinner. He’s posting 3.11 Points/60 in 5v5 right now. That’s INSANE. For comparison: here’s the same stat for a list of better known superstars: Matthew Tkachuk (3.08), Jack Hughes (3.05), Sidney Crosby (2.77), David Pastrnak (2.76), Nathan MacKinnon (2.71), Connor McDavid (2.57).
Now consider this: Skinner’s failed to record a point in 4 straight games now. To be fair, they were brutal matchups (LA Kings, Calgary, Carolina, Minnesota), whereas tonight’s opponent is a complete 180. The Ducks allow the most goals per game this season, both overall (4.1) and at home (3.9).
Oddsmakers clearly expect goals to fly in this contest (o/u 6.5 is juiced to the Over), and Buffalo is rightly favored on the moneyline (-215). Their team total line is tugging towards o/u 4 (from o/u 3.5), signaling the market to expects fireworks, too. The Sabres also have more incentive to win than Anaheim, who are clearly tanking for draft positioning. Icing on the cake: betting Skinner to record a point is 12-3 in his last 15 road games.
All these things inject me with confidence that Skinner will find the scoresheet! (hopefully quickly, since this game starts late)
I got +154 odds for the parlay at Draftkings Sportsbook and risked a full unit to win 1.54u!
Absolutely love this ticket, but parlaying bets is a high-risk / high-reward strategy. Please remember to bet responsibly if tailing! Cheers and good luck
21+ and present in OH. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
CLAIM NOWThis may just turn into a must bet when he's home. He hit 10 of 12 home starts to start 2023 and already cashed in his only game this year with 21 outs. He also went 21 outs all 3 ...