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$FML's NHL Tuesday Parlay - 2/21

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Leg 1: St. Louis Blues @ Carolina Hurricanes

St. Louis sent longtime captain and franchise legend Ryan O’Reilly to Toronto via trade on Friday. We’ve been fading ‘em since, and that train ain’t stopping tonight! Carolina’s 12-2 in their last 14 games and arguably the hottest NHL team right now. They’ve been dominant at home all year, too, posting a 19-6-2 record. The Canes are generating the 6th most high-danger scoring chances (HDCF) in their last 10 at PNC Arena, while STL’s generating the 2nd fewest in their last 10 away games. O’Reilly skated in 9 of those 10 games, too, and now he’s gone. All signs point to a dominant home victory for the favorite, and 90% of STL’s losses this year came in Regulation Time (2nd highest % in NHL).

Leg 2: Montreal Canadiens @ New Jersey Devils

New Jersey’s MVP candidate (Jack Hughes) is BACK and making an immediate impact. He recorded 2 assists on Sunday vs. Winnipeg. The Devils are now 13-2-2 since January 7th, placing the Eastern Conference’s 2nd playoff seed within striking distance (trail CAR by just 3 standings points). To catch the sizzling Canes, NJ absolutely needs to win games like tonight vs. the tanking Canadiens. Montreal’s just 1-9 in their last 10 road games driven by a horrific blend of lackluster offense and leaky defense. They failed to score more than 2 goals in 9 of those 10 contests. Clearly not a winning strategy. In an earlier season clash vs. New Jersey, Montreal was pummeled 5-1 at home. While I fully expect a similar dominating result here, in spirit of safety: I went 60-minute ML. 88% of MTL’s losses this year came in Regulation Time (4th highest % in NHL).

The Slip

I got +113 odds for the 2-leg parlay at FanDuel Sportsbook and risked a full unit to win 1.13U!

If you’re feelin’ risky, consider sprinkling small on a 2nd version using -1.5 puck lines

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