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Aston Villa vs Bournemouth: Preview, Prediction & Betting Tips

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Aston Villa vs Bournemouth: Preview, Prediction & Betting Tips

Location: Villa Park
Date: 21/04/24
Kick-off: 3.00 PM
Aston Villa continue their mission for European football as they host a Bournemouth side who will once again be playing in the Premier League next season. The hosts have the advantage over their nearest rivals in the race for UEFA Champions League qualification.

Unai Emery has led his Aston Villa team on quite the journey this season and are now within touching distance of the Champions League. The Villains are currently fourth in the league after 33 games played, three points ahead of Tottenham Hotspur. Tottenham Hotspur will have a game in hand as it currently stands but Aston Villa need to take advantage of any potential games they have in the meantime.

By the time Tottenham Hotspur play another game, Aston Villa would have two games played over the London based outfit. If Aston Villa were to lose this game against Bournemouth, they could face a scenario where if Tottenham Hotspur were to capitalise, they would fall three points behind with only a handful of games left to play.

Aston Villa after 33 games played are fourth with 63 points accumulated thus far. The home side have averaged 1.9 points per game this season. Unai Emery’s side have already bettered their tally of 61 points from last season, and they could mathematically finish on 78 points this season.

In the attacking areas of the pitch, Aston Villa have been very consistent. The Villains have scored 68 goals from 33 games- averaging 2.06 goals per game. Ollie Watkins has been a huge contributor to Aston Villa’s attack. The hosts currently boast the fifth best attack in the entire league.

In the defensive areas of the pitch, Aston Villa tend to concede goals but are supported heavily by their attacking output. Unai Emery’s side have conceded 49 goals this season – averaging 1.48 goals conceded per game.
Aston Villa are still competing on multiple fronts whether that be in the league or the UEFA Conference League where they are at the quarter final stage. Aston Villa have a second leg tie against Lille to contend with. The hosts have a 2-1 lead heading into Thursday’s crunch game.

For AFC Bournemouth, manager Andoni Iraola has recovered brilliantly to guide his Bournemouth side to Premier League safety once again. During the early parts of the season, Iraola was under a serious amount of pressure following the dismissal of Gary O’Neil and the results and performances were not up to standard. Now under his management, they have developed a significant style of play which has guided them towards another year in the Premier League. The Cherries are mathematically safe from the relegation zone and are appearing over the shoulder of teams in the top ten.
Bournemouth are currently 13th in the league after 32 league games and a win could potentially move the Cherries as high as ninth in the league. This would require a unique set of results to happen for this to take place.

The visitors have accumulated 42 points from 32 games played – averaging 1.31 points per game. The attacking output is inferior to Aston Villa’s, but they contributed well in those areas. Bournemouth have scored 47 goals from 32 games this season – averaging 1.46 goals per game.

In the most recent league fixture between the two teams, the points were shared between the two teams. Bournemouth took the lead through Semenyo in opening ten minutes, before having the lead cut by Leon Bailey ten minutes later. Dominic Solanke restored the lead for Bournemouth and were almost within touching grasp of all three points until Ollie Watkins equalised late on.

Aston Villa to win both halves

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yes @ +390
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Penalty Awarded?

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Yes @ +146
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Both Teams To Score

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Yes @ -220
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Recent Form

Interestingly, the recent history favours the away side which should give Bournemouth every confidence heading into the fixture. The Cherries have won three out of their last five league fixtures against Aston Villa, losing once and drawing once.

In the corresponding fixture last season, Aston Villa recorded a 3-0 win over Bournemouth. An early goal from Douglas Luiz and two late goals from Jacob Ramsey and Emiliano Buendia secured the victory for Aston Villa.

Bournemouth’s most recent win at Villa Park was in 2019. Despite Aston Villa having 21 shots to 12 from Bournemouth that day, goals from Joshua King and Harry Wilson gave the Cherries a 2-1 win.

The home side have been in moderate form over the last five league games. The Villains have won two out of their last five games, having obtained eight points from a possible 15 available.

In their most recent league game, Aston Villa took a giant step towards Champions League qualification. A 2-0 win over Arsenal thanks to goals from Leon Bailey and Ollie Watkins places Aston Villa ahead of Tottenham Hotspur as it stands.
Aston Villa have a tremendous home record at Villa Park. The host have played 16 games this season at home and have won 11 of those – averaging 2.19 points per game.

Ollie Watkins has been in wonderful form his season and is a genuine contender amongst the player of the year awards. Watkins has 29 goal contributions in 32 games and will almost certainly be of interest for Gareth Southgate in the European Championships.

The Cherries are in some fine vein of form and have a better record coming into this game than their hosts. Bournemouth have won three out of their last five games, having obtained ten points from a possible 15 available.
Bournemouth’s most recent game they were unlucky not to achieve all three points at home to Manchester United. Dominic Solanke and Justin Kluivert’s goals were cancelled out by a Bruno Fernandes brace. The hosts for that game did record 20 shots in the game probably should have recorded a victory.

In their most recent away game, they fell to a late defeat against Luton Town. Bournemouth were destined to obtain a point until a late Carlton Morris goal scuppered their chances.

Another English striker who is amongst the goals is Dominic Solanke. Solanke has 17 goals this season which is almost treble his goal output from the last campaign.

Header logoPremier League

PosClubPWDLGDPTS
3
Team logoLiverpool
3824104+4582
4
Team logoAston Villa
3820810+1568
5
Team logoTottenham
3820612+1366
Last updated 22/05/2024
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Header logoPremier League

PosClubPWDLGDPTS
11
Team logoBrighton
38121214-748
12
Team logoBournemouth
3813916-1348
13
Team logoFulham
3813817-647
Last updated 22/05/2024

Team News

Aston Villa

Tyrone Mings, Emiliano Buendia, Jacob Ramsey, Boubacar Kamara and Matty Cash are all ruled out through injury. Unai Emery has no fresh suspension concerns.

Bournemouth

Ryan Fredericks, Max Aarons, and Lloyd Kelly are all ruled out with injuries. Marcos Senesi is at risk of suspension heading into this game.

Footy Accumulators Prediction

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