Capper Penguin's FIFA World Cup SGP: Brazil vs South Korea - 12/5

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BRAZIL vs SOUTH KOREA SGP (-115 FD)

We need just five things to happen and they're all highly doable in their own respect.

First Leg:

Brazil is the current (and pre World Cup) favorite to win the entire thing and most of the teams have already played their round of 16 matches. They're -1100 to advance today and they beat South Korea 5-1 earlier this year and 3-0 in 2019 without Neymar. Brazil will go through.

  • Leg One: Brazil to qualify for the next round

Second & Third Legs:

To go off the reasoning from leg 1, Brazil should absolutely dominate this match. In their match earlier this year, Brazil had 25 shots and 9 corners of their own. In this tournament, they had 21 shots & 11 corners vs Cameroon, 13 shots & 8 corner kicks vs a tougher Swiss team, and 23 shots with 6 corners vs Serbia. Keep in mind the opposition had 4+ corners in each of these matches so 13+ team shots & 7 total corners should be no problem.

  • Leg Two: Brazil 13+ team shots (not SOT)
  • Leg Three: over 6.5 corners in the match

Fourth Leg

This may be the riskiest leg, but still not too risky. Richarlison scored the first goal vs South Korea earlier this year and when Neymar is on the pitch he is lethal. He didn't play in Brazil's last group stage game vs Cameroon to rest, but scored both their goals in game 1 vs Serbia. He's averaging over 1 shot on target in his last 21 games for Brazil and with Tite saying Neymar is good to go this is a big uptick for Richarlison.

  • Leg Four: Richarlison 1+ shot on target

Fifth Leg:

A goal will be scored.

  • Leg Five: Over 0.5 goals

Penguin SGP

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