Lille vs Nice Preview, Prediction & Betting Picks

As the Ligue 1 season draws to a close, Lille and Nice are set to clash in a pivotal fixture that could determine their final standings and European ambitions for next season. Scheduled for Sunday, this encounter carries significant weight for both clubs, who find themselves in critical positions on the league table.

• Lille To Win @ +110 With BetMGM
• Both Teams To Score @ -135 With BetMGM
• Over 2.5 Match Goals @ -115 With BetMGM

These odds are accurate at the time of publication and are subject to change.

• Date: 5/19/2024
• Kick-off time: 12:00 Pacific Time
• Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille are currently occupying 3rd place with 58 points from 33 matches. Under the stewardship of Paulo Fonseca, they have enjoyed a robust season, demonstrating consistency and resilience. Lille's immediate objective is to secure a place in next season’s UEFA Champions League group stage, which requires them to maintain or improve their current position. They are level on points with Brest, who are in 4th, thus making this final day of the season crucial. Should Lille at least match Brest’s result against Toulouse, they will finish 3rd or 4th, the latter involving a route through the Champions League qualifying rounds. However, slipping to 5th is a possibility if Nice, currently 5th with 54 points and a game in hand, secure victories in their remaining fixtures.

Nice have also had an impressive campaign, sitting 5th with 54 points from 32 matches. Managed by Francesco Farioli, Nice have guaranteed themselves a spot in the Europa League group stage. Nevertheless, they have their sights set higher, aiming to overtake Lille and/or Brest and possibly secure a Champions League berth. For this to happen, Nice must first triumph over the formidable Paris Saint-Germain in midweek before heading to Lille. Additionally, they need Brest to falter against Toulouse if they want to finish 3rd and claim automatic qualification to the Champions League group stage. Despite the daunting task, Nice's recent form against Lille gives them some optimism, having won three of their last five encounters, with one ending in a draw and another in defeat.

Lille have showcased a balanced team effort throughout the season, with a solid defensive setup complemented by a versatile attack. Their midfield, orchestrated by the likes of Angel Gomes, has been pivotal in controlling games and creating opportunities. Paulo Fonseca's tactical acumen has ensured that Lille remain competitive in key matches, and their resilience has been a standout feature, particularly in tight contests.

Key players such as Jonathan David, who has been prolific in front of goal, and Benjamin André, alongside the aforementioned Gomes, who anchors the midfield, have been instrumental in Lille's campaign. Their form in this decisive match will be critical, especially against a Nice side known for its defensive solidity and counter-attacking prowess.

Nice, under Francesco Farioli, have relied on a structured defence and swift transitions. Their ability to absorb pressure and exploit spaces on the counter has been a hallmark of their play this season. Key figures like Khéphren Thuram in midfield and Jean-Clair Todibo in defence have been central to their strategy. Their recent head-to-head success against Lille adds an extra layer of confidence as they approach this fixture.

The historical context between these two teams adds an intriguing subplot to the match. Nice have had the upper hand in recent meetings, with three wins out of the last five matches against Lille. The earlier encounter this season ended in a 1-1 draw, indicating a closely matched rivalry. This history suggests that while Lille might have the edge in terms of current form and standings, Nice’s familiarity with upsetting their plans could play a significant role.

As the final whistle blows on this season, the outcome of this match will likely have significant implications. For Lille, a victory would not only secure their Champions League aspirations but also cap off a successful season under Fonseca. For Nice, winning their remaining fixtures and hoping for Brest to drop points could see them clinch an unexpected spot in the Champions League, a remarkable achievement given their starting point.

Both teams are under pressure, with Lille aiming to consolidate their position and Nice striving to upset the status quo. This sets the stage for a gripping encounter, where tactical nous, player performances, and perhaps a bit of fortune will determine the final standings.

Lille Team News

Yusuf Yazici is a major doubt after suffering a recent injury while Samuel Umtiti and Adam Ounas are also both expected to miss out.Lille could stick with the same XI that started the game against Nantes at the weekend.

Nice Team News

Sofiane Diop will play no further part this season while Valentin Rosier is a major doubt.Wholesale changes from the weekend's game against Le Havre are not likely, with Jordan Lotomba the only potential introduction into this weekend's starting lineup.

Lille's form has been up and down in recent weeks as they come into this game having won three and lost two of their last five games. Most recently, Lille claimed a crucial 2-1 win away at Nantes, where a first-half brace from Jonathan David was enough for three points.

Before that, Lille fell to a hugely frustrating 4-3 defeat at home to Lyon, where despite taking a 3-2 lead through Bafodé Diakité in the 85th minute, after earlier sacrificing a 2-0 half-time lead, they somehow managed to lose the game 4-3, with Lyon equalising in the 88th minute before winning the game in stoppage time.

That result followed a 2-1 win away at Metz, thanks to goals from Ismaily and Yusuf Yazıcı, which came after a 1-0 loss away at Monaco, which was preceded by a 1-0 win over Strasbourg, via a goal from Jonathan David.

On home soil, Lille have been in very good form having won four of their last five games (in 90 minutes).

Nice are in very good shape heading into this game as they boast a recent run of three wins and two draws in their last five games. Their most recent outing was a 1-0 win over Le Havre which came thanks to a goal from Jeremie Boga, a result that followed an impressive 3-1 win away at Strasbourg courtesy of Evann Guessand, Dante and Morgan Sanson.

Those results were preceded by a 2-2 draw away at Marseille, with the goals coming from Terem Moffi and Melvin Bard, a 3-0 win over Lorient, via Sanson, Boga and Guessand, and a 0-0 draw against Reims.

Away from home, Nice have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five games.

This one is a hugely appetising game on the final day of the Ligue 1 campaign and despite Nice's good form, we're giving the edge to Lille. Ultimately, Lille are very good at home and the freak 3-4 game against Lyon aside, they've been really good on their own turf of late. It'll be a closely fought encounter no doubt, but the home side should edge this one. Lille 2-1 Nice.

Lille vs Nice will be shown live on Peacock Network in the USA.