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(1) UConn vs. (4) Alabama: Betting Tips, Prediction, and Betting Odds

Alabama Crimson Tide men's basketball
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(1) UConn vs. (4) Alabama: Betting Tips, Prediction, and Betting Odds

The Defending National Champion UConn Huskies will take on the Alabama Crimson Tide Saturday night in Phoenix. UConn added another blowout win to their resume last Saturday by whooping Illinois 77-52. Meanwhile, Alabama knocked off Clemson in a back and forth affair to reach the program’s first Final Four. Now both teams will meet and look to make history for their respective teams.

What is there to be said about UConn that hasn’t already been said? They seem to be an unstoppable force that is taking out everyone in their path. The Huskies were only up five at the half against the Illini before going on a 30-0 run in the second half. The most impressive aspect of this team is they can beat you in a variety of ways. They are capable of lighting up the scoreboard at a moments notice, but they prefer to play at a much slower pace. They are 315th in the country in pace of play. They will probably look to keep this Final Four matchup on the slower side against an Alabama team that loves to get out and run.

Alabama put on a three point shooting display for the ages against Clemson. They shot 44% from deep, but that doesn’t tell the entire story. Mark Sears and Ryan Griffen both shot 50% from behind the arc. Jarin Stevenson also chipped in with a 5-8 three point night. Sears seemed like he could not miss in the second half, and he will need to have another great night if the Tide are going to dethrone UConn. The Huskies haven’t really faced a team with this team’s shooting prowess this season. It is worth noting that Creighton knocked off UConn behind a 50% showing from deep. Alabama will have to have to rely on their shooting against a Huskies team that is more talented in almost every position.

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UConn Point Spread

UConn -11.5 is available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.

11.5 is a big number, but it is almost impossible to bet against UConn at this point. The Huskies have won 8 of their last 10 games by at least 14 points. One thing that stood out in UConn’s dismantling of Illinois was how easy it was for them to get points in transition. After every miss it seemed like the Huskies were able to get down the court for a dunk in a few seconds. If Alabama goes cold from three, it could turn into a similar situation on Saturday. Illinois’ defense was not great, but Alabama’s is almost non-existent. They’re 346th in the country in scoring defense to be exact. The Tide have also allowed an average of 81 ppg in this tournament. 
UConn will look to get Alabama to play at a very slow pace, which could lead to some frustration and forced shots. UConn has guys who can get hot at any time and capitalize on Alabama’s weak defense. Look for the Huskies to continue their dominance in this one. 

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(1) UConn vs. (4) Alabama Total Points Under 160.5

Under 160.5 Total Points is available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.

It feels wrong taking an under in an Alabama game, but this is more of a bet on UConn’s defense. The Huskies held Illinois to just 26% from deep in the Elite Eight. If they can limit Alabama’s makes from behind the arc, it will be a very long night for their offense. The Tide do not have a guy who can go toe to toe with Donovan Clingan and score in the paint. Despite all their blowouts, the Huskies are not a team who runs up the score. If they take a big lead into the final minutes, they usually sit on it and look to eat clock. Expect the UConn defense to shine here and keep this total below the high number. 

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