FastMoneyLabs is running it back on the Pirates on Saturday's MLB slate!
FastMoneyLabs is running it back on the Pirates on Saturday's MLB slate!
By subscribing you agree to our T&Cs & Privacy Policy and are happy to receive marketing from FlashPicks. 21+
SUBSCRIBE TODAYRunning it back on the Pirates but with a slightly different angle. They’re averaging 3.62 First 5 Innings Runs (2nd most) and coming off a game where they left 8 men on base and still scored 4.
Tonight’s pitching matchup projects better vs. Luis Cessa. He’s getting absolutely clocked in headline metrics (13.50 ERA for example) and advanced stats validate the concern. For example his 12.03 expected ERA and 0.389 expected batting average allowed — which factor in quality of opponent contact — both rank bottom 1% of qualifying pitchers so far.
Only thing I don’t love is the weather forecast. It shows a slight chance of rain in Pittsburgh tonight. That’s a risk I’m willing to accept though given the A+ matchup plus team trend. I also like how the game total is tugging up towards 9.5 (from 9) and PIT ML price moved to -160 (from -145 at the open). All good signs supporting this pick!
For what it’s worth, BallparkPal.com simulates each game thousands of times, and they have PIT scoring 3.084 runs in the first 5 innings tonight.
1 per new customer. $5+ first-time bet req. Get 1 promo code to redeem discounted NFL Sunday Ticket subscription and max. $300 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets that expire in 7 days (168 hours), are single-use and non-withdrawable. Stake removed from payout. NFL Sunday Ticket: YouTube TV base plan (not included in this offer) required to watch NFL Sunday Ticket on YouTube TV. Subscription autorenews yearly at then-current price (currently $378 for YouTube TV subscribers, or $480 for YouTube subscribers); cancel anytime. Terms, restrictions, embargoes and eligibility requirements apply. No refunds. Digital only games excluded. Commercial use excluded. Addt’l terms: https://tv.youtube.com/learn/nflsundayticket/draftkings/. Ends 9/29/25 at 11:59 PM ET. 21+ and present in NJ. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
CLAIM NOWWe're kicking off August with a juicy parlay from our Smart Picks tool boasting a +1065 payout: Our Smart Picks betting tool is completely free to use, and allows you to formulate ...