John Bollman's MLB Bet of the Day - 5/13

John Bollman | @JohnBollman11

Baltimore Orioles (14-18 @ Detroit Tigers (9-23)

Frankly, I have been going back and forth on this play all morning. However, that just tells me this is very close to a 50-50 game and that there is a lot more value than the oddsmakers are giving. The Tigers are now 4-16 in their last 20 games with three of those wins coming from splitting doubleheaders. They are just 1-13 in their last 14 games with just a single game in the day. Yet, they are still favored today. Well, that is mainly because of the Tigers starting pitcher, Eduardo Rodriguez. He has absolutely dominated the Orioles in the past with the Red Sox, picking up the win in 9 of his last 10 starts against them.

The Orioles have also struggled against lefties this season. However, they did just beat a lefty yesterday in Steven Matz so that should give them some momentum.The Orioles on the other hand are 3-0-1 in their last four series. The Tigers have the second worst record in the league at 9-23, just one game behind the Reds and they are still favorites. Jordan Lyles has pitched back-to-back quality starts for the Orioles and their bullpen has sneakily been very good this season. Their bullpen is worked with winning the past couple series, but the Tigers bullpen is worked as well. Austin Hays is on fire right now, but he could be out after getting spiked last night. He didn’t leave the game yesterday though after he was spiked, so I am hoping he will be fine and back in the lineup tonight. Either way, the rest of this Orioles lineup is hitting while the Tigers are not. The Tigers have the second worst wOBA in the league against righties this season, while the Orioles struggle against lefties.

I think the Orioles would be favored if it was any other lefty, but the public immediately checks Rodriguez history against the Orioles and sees him dominate. I think that could happen again honestly as the Tigers have been playing lots of close games. However, the Tigers have also been losing lots of close games, so I like the value in the Orioles on the road.

I think the Orioles will win this series so a strategy I like to use on the underdog is play them in Game 1. If they lose, we can come back and play them in Game 2 or 3 and hope to come out positive for the series.

John's Bet of the Day

caesars

ORIOLES ML @ +135

⚡️ Get a $1,250 Risk-Free Bet!
CLAIM OFFER
New Customers in AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MI, NJ, NY, PA, TN, VA, WV & WY.

Free Bets & Offers


💰 Bet $10 on any NFL game & Win $200 when a TD is scored! 🏈
Exclusively to IL, KS & LA only
JOIN HERE!
⚡️ Get a $1,250 Risk-Free Bet!
New Customers in AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MI, NJ, NY, PA, TN, VA, WV & WY.
CLAIM OFFER
Bet $100 & Get $100 in Free Bets
T&C's apply 21+ VA only.
Join WynnBet
⚡️ $1,000 Risk-Free Bet on ANY Sport!
Available in AZ, CO, DC, IA, IN, IL, KS, LA, MI, MS, NJ, NY, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY.
CLAIM OFFER
Get our experts' latest picks and free bets straight to your inbox!
By subscribing you agree to our T&Cs & Privacy Policy and are happy to receive marketing from FlashPicks. 21+
SUBSCRIBE TODAY

Covering a wide range of US sports, we aim to be the ultimate sports betting website. Here you’ll find picks and analysis for the biggest sports across the USA.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537).

21+
800Gambler - Helpline: 1-800 GAMBLER
Disclaimer

FlashPicks is owned and operated by Checkd Media. Contact [email protected] for more information.

© 2012 - 2022 Copyright FlashPicks. All Rights reserved. v2.7.10 (1)