Tonight we’re keeping the home run parlay tight with a single game parlay. Let’s start with the Mariners slugger Suarez. Suarez is slightly below pace on his expected home run total for this season, but he’s making a lot of ground in his first season in Seattle. He’ll face Michael Lorenzen starting for the Angels who has had an up and down season so far. They key is to catch him on an off night, like his last start in Seattle last week when he gave up 7 runs over 5 innings. For a long odds bet like home run bets are, I like the hit or miss.
On the Angels side, Taylor Ward might not be the first or even the second choice for a home run. But his value is undeniable tonight. Ward is an underrated power hitter with 11 home runs on the season to date. He hit a tough streak of games without a long ball but broke out of it with a 2 run homer on Monday. Chris Flexen is an ideal opponent tonight for the Mariners. He has a high hard hit rate and has given up 10 home runs already this season. Ward’s odds are underrated tonight so take the long odds parlay tonight for a chance at gold.
Taylor Ward / Eugenio Suarez @ +2200 (Best odds via Caesars Sportsbook)