@RyanPropz Mariners @ Blue Jays K Prop Pick - 5/17

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Ryan Dolan | @ryanpropz

Seattle Mariners (16-20) @ Toronto Blue Jays (19-17)

I do not take much enjoyment in taking a strikeout prop vs the Blue Jays, but I could not resist this one. Toronto strikes out more than we are used to, and despite their horrifying lineup they are bottom 10 in runs per game. They are coming off a game where they struck out 10 times including 7 vs starter Chris Flexen in 5.1 innings. Prior to that start, Chris averaged .64 strikeouts per inning. For the season, the Blue Jays have a 23.8% strikeout percentage vs righties. While bats like Vlad and Gurriel can be tough to strike out, there are some great targets in this lineup:

  • Bo Bichette 25.4 K% vs righties
  • Matt Chapman 30.4 K% vs righties 
  • Santiago Espinal 24.0 K% vs righties
  • Teoscar Hernandez 33.3 K% vs righties

Onto our guy tonight, Logan Gilbert. Logan is a 6’6 flamethrower in his second year in the majors. He is off to a terrific start to the season with a 4-1 record, 2.13 ERA, and 1.11 WHIP. He has racked up 42 strikeouts in 38 innings. He has hit his K prop in 5/7 this season with the two misses being 4 strikeouts. He is 3 out of 4 on the road averaging over a strikeout per inning. He has made a large stride in his second season thanks to an uptick in velocity in all 4 of his pitches, and sports one of the better fastballs in the game thanks to 95.4 MPH and very long arms to make it look even faster. He is in the 74th percentile in strikeout percentage this season, and sits at a 4.5 line. I will take that happily.

Ryan's Pick

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LOGAN GILBERT OVER 4.5 STRIKEKOUT @ -125

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