It is going to be a beautiful night for hitting at Fenway. Expected to be 75 at the start of the game with up to 15 MPH winds blowing to left center field. It could be a massive night for offense, especially considering the red hot Red Sox offense. The Red Sox are batting .310 as a team over the last 15 days. A large part of that is due to JD Martinez's unbelievable season. I will be looking towards him to cash a prop for us tonight.
JD is easily first in the league in batting average. He is batting .380 this season thanks to a .443 average in May. I do not expect him to slow down tonight in a favorable matchup and some great splits in his favor.
Let's go over the matchup first. Kyle Braddish will be on the mound for the O’s in a daunting matchup. Kyle has a 5.74 ERA this season. He has allowed 28 hits in 26.2 innings and has been hit especially hard by righties for a .357 average and .714 slugging.
I will cover JD’s splits next:
Home: .348 average, .203 ISO, 10 extra base hits in 69 at bats
Vs righties: .368 average, .237 ISO, 17 extra base hits in 114 at bats
Night games: .434 average, .265 ISO, 14 extra base hits in 83 at bats
JD has hit his total base prop in 8/L10, and 24/36 overall. There are many reasons to think he continues his incredible May tonight.