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Atomic's NBA Monday Best Bet: Kings @ Jazz - 3/20

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Sacramento Kings @ Utah Jazz (9PM ET)

De'Aaron Fox has managed to eclipse this line in his last 12 out of 15 games where he records 31 or more minutes as Huerter remains doubtful others will likely have to take on some of the scoring load in place of him even if it just 2-4 points that can be a big difference for a player compared to their average. The Jazz allow the #4 most points in the paint especially the stints where Kessler is off the floor I expect Fox to eat & score the majority of his PTS we all know Fox loves to drive & attack the paint he leads the Kings in Drives Per Game @ 16.0. The Jazz allow the #8 most PPG and are B5 DRTG they have just struggled to defend this combined with both teams being T12 Pace & loving to run while not playing defense should combine to make this the fastest paced game of the night the 240.5 O/U projects that as well meaning Fox should get a lot more possessions / opportunities against an already bad defensive unit.

Fox had 37 in the last meeting against the Jazz when Vanderbilt was in the lineup & no Kessler so this paint defense was worse but they also had a better perimeter defender  to throw on Fox and he still managed to drop 37 this matchup is just too good for him even W/ Kessler in the game Fox loves to just score near the paint even with Mid-Range jumpers with only THT/Dunn to defend him this should be an amazing matchup. Fox has been hooping post ASB & I expect him to keep it that way tonight in a primed matchup especially after 2 worse games especially compared to his average think this is a good buy low especially considering Huerter is doubtful & someone will need to pick up the scoring.

Atomic's Pick

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De’Aaron Fox o26.5 PTS @ -125
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