Anthony Davis has hit this line in his last 15/24 games when he has recorded 31 or more minutes & as the Lakers are fighting to make the play - in & this should be a close spread I see no reason he doesn't get 31 or more minutes tonight. He has hit this in his last 2 out of 2 games against the Pelicans & the Pelicans are ranked #8 best Defensive Rating in NBA but allow the #16 most PITP (Points in the Paint) & that is because their center Jonas Valančiūnas is in the Bottom 2 Percentile on defense which would put him as the #2 WORST defensive center by that metric. The Pelicans are allowing the #4 most points per game to centers over the L30D - Compared to their averages (+1.92) & the #7 most rebounds per game in the L30D (+1.07) so this is just a good matchup for him against a bottom 3 defensive big in the NBA. We also always have the narrative of course as the Pelicans traded him & it got ugly over their I am not a narrative guy but he obviously is extra fired up & circles the Pelicans on the calendar after dropping their last game they need this one badly & Anthony Davis will need to be a factor for that to happen. The Pelicans also have a ton of good defensive guards to limit D'Angelo Russell on offense a bit which would hopefully lead to Davis getting more touches. This is just a good matchup with a high - hit rate which is the two main things I look for when factoring a prop if Davis is aggressive we will cash this its all in his hands as he has the matchup to attack.
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On 3+ days of rest, Shai has hit this line in 12 straight games averaging 39 points and assists. He’s averaging 36.3 points and assists away from home on the season and has hit in ...