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Atomic's NBA Wednesday Best Bet: Kings @ Bulls - 3/15

Atomic
Wed 15 Mar 2023 17:36

Atomic is fresh off of a two-piece sweep and looking to run up another streak with this NBA pick for Wednesday's action!

Sacramento Kings @ Chicago Bulls (8PM ET)

Since acquiring Patrick Beverly Lavine has managed to score 27 or more points in 7 out of the 8 games total played. We have seen roles get more solidified on this Chicago team and starting alongside Beverly & Caruso who are not very ball dominant has leaned Derozan & Lavine have been taking over recently & being more aggressive hence why I’m using those specific stats. Lavine will get a matchup in the Kings who struggle to defend the basket we are seeing them give up the #3 most points in the paint on the season we all know Lavine loves to drive & is comfortable going to the basket we saw him drop 41 in this exact matchup in the previous game & he was getting to the basket on Sabonis a TON of times & just getting easy looks. The Kings just do not have a ton of good defenders specifically in the starting lineup for Lavine they will possibly put the rookie Murray who has struggled defensively on him. The Kings have been allowing the #3 most points per game to shooting guards over the L30D a +6.12 compared to their averages also the #4 most 3’s so they have been poor against that position as well and as mentioned earlier this team just does not defend their best defender is on the bench & the next one (Barnes) likely guards DeroZan. Sacramento is the 4th worst defensive rating in the league while being a top 5 pace this team just is insane offensively and loves to push it this 236.5 total implies a high scoring game. Good Matchup as the Kings are horrible at defending basically everything & specifically his position he also will not get their best defender also a high hit- rate since Bev has been starting for me to love this spot we just need Lavine to be a bit efficient and aggressive to cash us tonight.

Full star

Atomic's Pick:

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Zach Lavine o27.5 PTS @ -125
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