Our NBA player prop picks for tonight highlight three players in strong matchup spots: Anfernee Simons, Deandre Ayton, and Mark Williams. Based on recent form, matchup data, pace metrics, and defensive splits, all three overs stand out as high-value angles on a busy mid-week slate.
Below are our three best NBA player prop bets for November 18, 2025:
Celtics @ Nets
Anfernee Simons is coming off a brutal two-game stretch, including a scoreless 12-minute performance against the Clippers. But this matchup offers a prime bounce-back spot against a Brooklyn team that simply cannot defend guards.
Before the slump, Simons had scored 15+ points in four of his previous five games, and continues to average 13.4 points per game this season. The Nets rank 7th in points allowed to opposing shooting guards and 6th in overall points allowed (121.9 per game). Brooklyn’s perimeter defense is a revolving door, and Boston will need secondary scoring here.
This is a classic buy-low spot on a player who usually thrives against weak defensive backcourts.
Jazz @ Lakers
Deandre Ayton is quietly putting together one of his most efficient stretches of the season, leading the Lakers with a 69.2% field-goal percentage and scoring 20 points in recent strong outings vs. the Pelicans and Bucks.
Tonight he faces a Utah Jazz defense that continues to bleed points inside. Utah ranks:
The Jazz are allowing huge totals recently - 297, 297, 254, and 280 combined points in their last three games, signaling a full defensive collapse. With the Lakers returning home after a draining road trip, Ayton remains the most consistent interior option and should continue his strong form in a dream matchup.
Suns @ Trail Blazers
Few matchups are better for a scoring center right now than facing the Portland Trail Blazers. No team in the league gives up more points to opposing centers, and Portland’s recent games have highlighted their defensive issues in the paint, allowing 62 and 56 points inside in back-to-back losses to the Mavericks and Rockets.
Mark Williams has gone over this line in five of his last 10 games, and he’s recorded double-digit scoring in consecutive meetings against Portland. The Blazers also play at the 2nd-highest pace in the NBA (106.1 possessions per game), which inflates opportunities for both teams.
With Phoenix likely targeting Portland’s interior weakness early and often, Williams is positioned for another efficient scoring night.
A three-leg NBA parlay featuring:
You can get odds of +649, meaning a $100 returns $748.56, depending on your sportsbook and the odds at the time of betting.
We’ve locked in a +724 Same Game Parlay for Trail Blazers vs. Suns built around three player props that all lean on matchup advantages, current form, and clear trends. Here’s our f...
