This pick seems a little counterintuitive at first glance. The Warriors and Mavs have both averaged some of the lowest point total games this season. Mavericks games average 209 points away from home and Warriors games average 211 points at home, no coincidence where this line is coming from. But those average are skewed based on player availability. The Warriors will be without Draymond Green, losing a significant defensive presence. The Mavs will also have both Luka and Porzingis on the court; when both of those two are playing, the offensive output goes way up. I think this one should be in the range of 215-220 points tonight, making the over a big play.