This series has been very difficult to predict, but one thing we can feel confident about is that the winner will cover. The average margin of victory in this series is an astonishing 15.5 points, despite the series being tied. The home/away factor hasn’t seemed to matter much either, with an even record in both Miami and Boston.
This really comes down to who you think will show up with the better shooters on any given day. And the edge goes to the Celtics there. Either team has clearly proven they can win, but the Celtics have the larger margin of error. There are more and better threats to take over the game on Boston’s side so the odds should be with them tonight.