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Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction And Betting Odds

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Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks: Betting Tips, Prediction & Betting Odds

The Memphis Grizzlies suffered a massive blow to their playoff hopes yesterday as we learned that star player Ja Morant will undergo season ending shoulder injury. The injury occurred over the weekend during one of the Grizzlies practices and although Memphis was able to beat the Phoenix Suns on the road without Morant, his absence on the team will be felt in the coming days and weeks. Without him in the line-up they’re just 7-20 SU this season, catching the 10th seeded Lakers who are 5.5 games ahead will be a miracle. There’s no point in dwelling over it, Memphis has to focus on tonight’s opponent the Mavs. Just last night we saw the Indiana Pacers beat the Boston Celtics with their best player coming out of the game with an injury, perhaps the Grizzlies can draw some inspiration from that?

Dallas is off to a solid start to 2024 with 3 wins in 4 outings, but more importantly their two best players Kyrie Irving and Luka Doncic are both healthy and playing at a high level. They’re coming off one of their biggest wins of the season, on Sunday they beat the West leading Minnesota Timberwolves 115-108. The aforementioned duo combined to score 69 points and dished out 13 assists in the win, while also going 11-for-20 from deep. A similar performance tonight would almost certainly get the job done, but the Mavs have to stay cautious here as they still have 4 players on the injury report which could impact their depth. Dallas does hold a 2-1 lead in head-to-head meetings this season, but interestingly enough both of their wins came on the road.

Memphis Grizzlies Point Spread

Memphis Grizzlies +8.5 Point Spread is priced at -110 odds at the time of publishing.


The oddsmakers have the Grizzlies as 8.5 point underdogs here, that’s mainly because they’re without their best player. But, we just saw them beat a very good Suns team without Morant, so I wouldn’t rule them out of this game so quickly. They’ve been on fire from three-point land, averaging 18.3 threes per game in their last 3 outings. I think the Grizzlies are more than capable of keeping this game close, so let’s back them to cover the spread.

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Grizzlies vs Mavericks Total Points: Under 234.5

Under 234.5 Total Points is priced at -110 odds at the time of publishing.

We have a projected total of 234.5 points for tonight’s game, after the Morant injury announcement the number has gone down by 2 points which means the oddsmakers aren’t expecting either team to slow down offensively here. I feel like this number is a bit too high, considering we saw just 206 points scored in the only meeting between the two teams played in Dallas this season. If we look at the last 10 head-to-head, the teams are averaging 212.7 points per game with the O/U going 3-7 during that stretch. Over the last 10 games the Mavericks have really picked it up defensively, they rank 3rd in defensive rating at 110.8 during that stretch. Memphis has also been consistent on that end, for the season they’re 13th in defensive efficiency, while over the last 10 games they’ve improved to 10th. With 6 of the last 7 meetings in Dallas all going under the total, that’s my recommended bet for tonight’s game.

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