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Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction And Betting Odds

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Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat: Betting Tips, Prediction & Betting Odds

With last night’s 130-104 win over Charlotte, the Dallas Mavericks officially clinched a playoff spot in the Western Conference. Something really dramatic would have to happen for them not to finish 5th, as things stand the Clippers and Pelicans are 2 games ahead and behind them respectively. Dallas aims to win a 5th straight game tonight as they head to South Beach for a date with the Miami Heat. The first meeting was played about a month ago, Dallas came out on top 114-108 thanks to a 35-point triple-double by Doncic. This match-up has been a one-sided affair in the past few seasons with the Mavs going 5-2 ATS/SU in the last 7 meetings. However, in Miami they’ve gotten just 3 wins in 12 visits which just proves how difficult it is to win there.

Miami is also catching steam as we get closer to the postseason. That’s to be expected from a Jimmy Butler led team. We’ve seen the Heat coast for good stretches of the regular season in the past and then turn it on in the final month or so of the season and the playoffs. This time around, the Heat have an opportunity to pick between facing the Celtics or the Heat in the first round, depending on where they finish. I’m sure they’re fine with facing either of those two teams, but after Antetokounmpo’s injury last night you have to think they’re now aiming to finish 7th to face the 2nd seeded Bucks. After last night’s OT win at Atlanta, you have to wonder how much the Heat players have left in the tank though. A total of 4 starters played 40+ minutes in the 117-111 victory.

Dallas Mavericks Point Spread Prediction

Mavericks -1.5 Point Spread is available at -110 odds

Dallas had a much easier job in Charlotte, so I think they have a slight edge when it comes to fatigue here. Doncic has been a problem, despite just 3 wins in their last 12 visits to Miami, I am going with the Mavs to cover here.

Chicago Bulls logo

CHI

Miami Heat logo

MIA

NBA | Fri 04/19, 11:00 PM
Sacramento Kings logo

SAC

New Orleans Pelicans logo

NOP

NBA | Sat 04/20, 1:30 AM
Orlando Magic logo

ORL

Cleveland Cavaliers logo

CLE

NBA | Sat 04/20, 5:00 PM
Phoenix Suns logo

PHX

Minnesota Timberwolves logo

MIN

NBA | Sat 04/20, 7:30 PM
Philadelphia 76ers logo

PHI

New York Knicks logo

NYK

NBA | Sat 04/20, 10:00 PM
Los Angeles Lakers logo

LAL

Denver Nuggets logo

DEN

NBA | Sun 04/21, 12:30 AM
Dallas Mavericks logo

DAL

Los Angeles Clippers logo

LAC

NBA | Sun 04/21, 7:30 PM
Indiana Pacers logo

IND

Milwaukee Bucks logo

MIL

NBA | Sun 04/21, 11:00 PM

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Total Points Prediction: Under 215.5

Under 215.5 Total Points is available at -110 odds

I’m expecting a battle here, mostly on the defensive end. These are the 1st and 3rd ranked defenses in terms of efficiency over the past 10 games played, opponents are having difficulties scoring against both sides. Miami doesn’t have the offensive firepower to go blow for blow with Dallas, they would be wise to slow down the tempo here. They have a ton of experience in doing so, for the season the Heat average just 96.9 possessions per game, that’s the 3rd slowest pace in the league. Backing the under in their games vs Western Conference opponents has yielded profit in 13 of the last 17 games, so we have that trend going for us here as well. Dallas enters this game on a run of 9 unders in 12 games, including 8 of their last 9 games played on a Wednesday. The 3 most recent meetings have given us 2 unders, so I think that’s the way to go with tonight’s game as well.

Chicago Bulls logo

CHI

Miami Heat logo

MIA

NBA | Fri 04/19, 11:00 PM
Sacramento Kings logo

SAC

New Orleans Pelicans logo

NOP

NBA | Sat 04/20, 1:30 AM
Orlando Magic logo

ORL

Cleveland Cavaliers logo

CLE

NBA | Sat 04/20, 5:00 PM
Phoenix Suns logo

PHX

Minnesota Timberwolves logo

MIN

NBA | Sat 04/20, 7:30 PM
Philadelphia 76ers logo

PHI

New York Knicks logo

NYK

NBA | Sat 04/20, 10:00 PM
Los Angeles Lakers logo

LAL

Denver Nuggets logo

DEN

NBA | Sun 04/21, 12:30 AM
Dallas Mavericks logo

DAL

Los Angeles Clippers logo

LAC

NBA | Sun 04/21, 7:30 PM
Indiana Pacers logo

IND

Milwaukee Bucks logo

MIL

NBA | Sun 04/21, 11:00 PM

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