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Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Prediction And Betting Odds

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Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets: Betting Tips, Prediction & Betting Odds

Two weeks ago the Denver Nuggets were able to beat the Miami Heat 103-97 at Ball Arena. Tonight, they conclude their regular season series with a clash at the Kaseya Center in South Beach as the Heat try to get revenge. Since that game, the Nuggets have lost only once which was their only defeat in the last 10 games played. After last night’s OKC Thunder loss to Indiana, the Nuggets are now tied for the number 1 spot in the West and with a win tonight they get sole possession of home court advantage until the Finals. This match-up has been dominated by the Nuggets for quite some time now, they’re 11-1 SU in the last 12 meetings, while also covering the spread in 7 of the last 10. They’re also a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 visits to Miami.

There’s no way around it, Miami had a stinker in their last game against the Washington Wizards as they lost 110-108 despite entering the game as 11.5 point favorites. With the loss they’re now 8th in the East, just a week or so ago they were 4th which just shows you how tight the situation is right now. The Heat are in a weird spot right now, the 9th placed Bulls are 4.5 games back so they can pretty much control their own destiny and decide which match-up they like best for the 1st Round of the playoffs. Beating the defending champions could bring back a bit of optimism to a team that’s underperformed since the break. The Heat have just 2 wins in their last 6 games, they’ve gone 1-4 ATS over their last 5 overall.

Denver Nuggets Point Spread Prediction

Nuggets -4.5 Point Spread is available at -110 odds

Kevin Love, Josh Richardson and Tyler Herro are all out for Miami, while Jimmy Butler is probable with an illness. I’m not sure if I have any more faith in Miami after what we saw on Sunday night. I’ll go with the safer option of Denver covering the spread.

Los Angeles Lakers logo

LAL

New Orleans Pelicans logo

NOP

NBA | Tue 04/16, 11:30 PM
Golden State Warriors logo

GSW

Sacramento Kings logo

SAC

NBA | Wed 04/17, 2:00 AM
Miami Heat logo

MIA

Philadelphia 76ers logo

PHI

NBA | Wed 04/17, 11:00 PM
Atlanta Hawks logo

ATL

Chicago Bulls logo

CHI

NBA | Thu 04/18, 1:30 AM

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Total Points Prediction: Under 215

Under 215 Total Points is available at -110 odds

Scoring comes at a premium in almost every single Miami Heat game and this one should be no exception. The first meeting of the season saw just 200 points between the two teams, with the Heat failing to crack the 100 point mark. Over their last 3 games their highest total was just 108 points, it could be a struggle once again vs one of the toughest defensive units we have in the league. Not only that, the Heat play a very slow tempo by today’s NBA standards averaging just 97.3 possessions per game which ranks 28th in the league. The Nuggets also like to slow things down, they’re just a hair faster than Miami at 97.5 possessions per game, however their offensive rating is 4.4 points per 100 possessions higher. Defensively the two teams are 9th and 10th in efficiency, they’ve averaged a combined 210.8 points per game over the last 10 meetings. With Miami going under in 10 of 14 at home and the Nuggets doing so in 8 of 11 on the road, I think sticking with that bet is the way to go here. Go with the under.

Los Angeles Lakers logo

LAL

New Orleans Pelicans logo

NOP

NBA | Tue 04/16, 11:30 PM
Golden State Warriors logo

GSW

Sacramento Kings logo

SAC

NBA | Wed 04/17, 2:00 AM
Miami Heat logo

MIA

Philadelphia 76ers logo

PHI

NBA | Wed 04/17, 11:00 PM
Atlanta Hawks logo

ATL

Chicago Bulls logo

CHI

NBA | Thu 04/18, 1:30 AM

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