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Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction And Betting Odds

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Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers: BETTING TIPS, PREDICTION & BETTING ODDS

Having back-to-back games against the unmotivated Toronto Raptors to close out the season did the Miami Heat good. They won both games convincingly without their starters exerting themselves too much. Tonight they have the tough task of taking on Joel Embiid and the surging Philadelphia 76ers, with the winner getting the 7th seed in the East. Facing the New York Knicks in the first sounds a lot more appealing than facing the Celtics who flat out dominated the regular season. Miami heads into this game with a lot of question marks, Terry Rozier has been ruled out with an injury, while Duncan Robinson and Kevin Love are both questionable. They did beat Philadelphia in the first two meetings of the regular season, but then the Sixers won the next two, setting up an intriguing encounter.

Philadelphia is on a 8-game win streak, mainly due to Joel Embiid returning to the line-up which has lifted the team both talent wise but also psychologically. Without Embiid it looked like a lost season for the Sixers, but with him in the line-up they are more than capable of making noise as a lower seed in the postseason. That is, if they can avoid facing the Boston Celtics. Philadelphia is a 4.5 point favorite here, they’ve covered the spread in 7 straight home games and in 5 games in a row vs Eastern Conference opponents. Similarly to Miami, they also have a couple of question marks here with De’Anthony Melton and KJ Martin Jr. being questionable. Embiid is also on the injury report, but only as a precautionary measure. In his last 5 games he’s averaging 30.4 points and 9.2 rebounds per game, looking like he hasn’t missed a beat while being out.

Miami Heat Point Spread Prediction

Heat +4.5 Point Spread is available at -110 odds

From a betting standpoint, 5 points is a lot to cover in a play-in game. These type of games are usually tight, so I would give a slight edge to Miami. Jimmy Butler and co. are well experienced to keep this as a tight game late, I think the 76ers win in the end, but in a close finish. Heat to cover.

Minnesota Timberwolves logo

MIN

Los Angeles Clippers logo

LAC

NBA | Thu 12/05, 3:30 AM
Dallas Mavericks logo

DAL

Washington Wizards logo

WAS

NBA | Fri 12/06, 12:00 AM
Denver Nuggets logo

DEN

Cleveland Cavaliers logo

CLE

NBA | Fri 12/06, 12:00 AM
Charlotte Hornets logo

CHA

New York Knicks logo

NYK

NBA | Fri 12/06, 12:30 AM
Oklahoma City Thunder logo

OKC

Toronto Raptors logo

TOR

NBA | Fri 12/06, 12:30 AM
Chicago Bulls logo

CHI

San Antonio Spurs logo

SAS

NBA | Fri 12/06, 1:00 AM
Phoenix Suns logo

PHX

New Orleans Pelicans logo

NOP

NBA | Fri 12/06, 1:00 AM
Sacramento Kings logo

SAC

Memphis Grizzlies logo

MEM

NBA | Fri 12/06, 1:00 AM
Houston Rockets logo

HOU

Golden State Warriors logo

GSW

NBA | Fri 12/06, 3:00 AM
Orlando Magic logo

ORL

Milwaukee Bucks logo

MIL

NBA | Wed 12/11, 12:00 AM

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers Total Points Prediction: Under 207.5

Under 207.5 Total Points is available at -110 odds

Both play-in games on Tuesday cashed on the under, highlighting the fact that teams are focused way more on defending in high stakes games. The Heat vs 76ers game should be no exception to that unwritten rule, even during the regular season these two teams haven’t filled up the stat sheet scoring wise in the last 3 meetings. An average of just 205.2 points per game were scored during that stretch, with the under cashing twice. If we expand that to the last 18 meetings, we can see the under cashing 12 times. At Wells Fargo Center the under is also 4-1 in the last 5 meetings, while the last time they faced off in this building neither side was able to crack the 100 point mark. The Sixers actually lead the NBA in defensive rating over their last 8 games, allowing just 104 points per 100 possessions. They’ve kept 3 of their last 5 opponents to less than 103 points, I wouldn’t be shocked if this was the case tonight as well. During that stretch the Heat are also top 10 defensively, allowing just 109.5 points per 100 possessions. Miami has been one of the slowest paced teams all year long, they’re averaging 95.7 possessions per game in their last 8 games. Prepare for a defensive battle here, I’m going under the total.

Minnesota Timberwolves logo

MIN

Los Angeles Clippers logo

LAC

NBA | Thu 12/05, 3:30 AM
Dallas Mavericks logo

DAL

Washington Wizards logo

WAS

NBA | Fri 12/06, 12:00 AM
Denver Nuggets logo

DEN

Cleveland Cavaliers logo

CLE

NBA | Fri 12/06, 12:00 AM
Charlotte Hornets logo

CHA

New York Knicks logo

NYK

NBA | Fri 12/06, 12:30 AM
Oklahoma City Thunder logo

OKC

Toronto Raptors logo

TOR

NBA | Fri 12/06, 12:30 AM
Chicago Bulls logo

CHI

San Antonio Spurs logo

SAS

NBA | Fri 12/06, 1:00 AM
Phoenix Suns logo

PHX

New Orleans Pelicans logo

NOP

NBA | Fri 12/06, 1:00 AM
Sacramento Kings logo

SAC

Memphis Grizzlies logo

MEM

NBA | Fri 12/06, 1:00 AM
Houston Rockets logo

HOU

Golden State Warriors logo

GSW

NBA | Fri 12/06, 3:00 AM
Orlando Magic logo

ORL

Milwaukee Bucks logo

MIL

NBA | Wed 12/11, 12:00 AM

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