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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Predictions Game 4

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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Predictions Game 4

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Predictions Game 4

Game 3 was an unusual one from the Thunder perspective as they let a 10-point lead slip away in a 105-101 loss to Dallas. In particular, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander struggled a lot in the 4th quarter. The MVP finalist went just 1-for-6 from the field and scored 6 points total. He also turned the ball over 3 times and committed 3 fouls, which is not something we’re used to seeing from him. The good news is there are only two days in between games 3 & 4, so there won’t be much time to dwell over that loss. OKC has to come out with a sense or urgency here though, something that didn’t happen in Game 3 resulting in a 3-point deficit after the 1st quarter of play. OKC is still 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings, so there will be optimism ahead of Game 4.

The mid-season trades made for P.J. Washington and Daniel Gafford are looking better by the day. Dallas got only 44 points from their dynamic duo of Kyrie Irving and Luka Doncic in Game 3 and still won. Washington stepped up with 27 points, including 5 threes, while Gafford provided quality minutes at the center position. The Mavs might have gotten away with one in Game 3, I find it hard to believe they can win another game with Doncic and Irving each scoring just 22 points in a game. Winning the rebounding aspect has been huge for this team, especially on the offensive glass where the Mavs are +12 in the last 2 games. The inexperience of Chet Holmgren is showing, Dallas would be smart to go at him on a consistent basis here.

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER POINT SPREAD PREDICTION

Game 3 could have gone either way and Game 4 is basically a pick ‘em between the two teams with the spread being as low as just 1 point. I still have faith in this Thunder team, they finished with the best record in the West for a reason. Expect a bounce back performance from SGA after failing to deliver late.
Thunder +1.5 Point Spread is available at -110 odd

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NYK

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BOS

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MIN

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LAL

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OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS DALLAS MAVERICKS GAME 4: TOTAL POINTS UNDER 213.5

Defense has now dominated 2 of the 3 games and as the series moves on I think we’ll see more and more of that moving forwards. Neither team shot the ball well in Game 3, especially from distance where they combined to go just 21-for-63. Being this deep into the Playoff run, nerves might also come into play which doesn’t bode well for the shooters on both sides. The under cashing in Saturday’s game was the 8th in 12 outings for the Mavs and the 4th in the last 5 Thunder games. OKC does rank high in terms of pace this postseason, but playing on the Mavs home court I think they won’t be able to control the tempo of this game. Dallas is only 10th in possessions per game (93.3) this postseason, a significant decrease from their regular season numbers (100.6). With 18 of their 43 home games this season cashing on the under, I feel really comfortable recommending that bet for Game 4 as well.
Under 213.5 Total Points is available at -110 odds

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