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Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction And Betting Odds

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Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks: Betting Tips, Prediction & Betting Odds

The Suns went into the All-Star break winning two games in a row and 5 of their last 6, however they could come out of the break without the services of Bradley Beal who underwent a procedure on his broken nose. Beal has been wearing a protective mask over the past 9 games, he could be sidelined for a while until he’s cleared to play. Phoenix does have a winning record without Beal this year at 14-11 SU, but I personally doubt they can be the dominant team they’ve been over the past two months or so without him. Kevin Durant and Devin Booker have carried the majority of the burden offensively and I don’t expect any significant changes to that strategy moving forward. The regular season series is tied at 1-1 between them and the Mavericks, each team won their respective road game.

Luka Doncic was the only Mavs representative in the All-Star game over the weekend, he had yet another lackluster performance with just 7 points scored. It’s pretty clear that Luka has bigger goals on his mind, Dallas is currently on a 6-game win streak, but more importantly their two best players are healthy and playing extremely well. They are one of the more banged up teams at the moment, so this week off will do them well as they try to make a run for it in the 2nd part of the regular season. The Mavs have to be careful here though, they’re just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 home games vs the Suns, they enter Thursday’s game as 3-point favorites according to the oddsmakers.

Phoenix Suns Point Spread Prediction

Dallas Mavericks -3 Point Spread is available at -110 odds

Coming out of the break it might take a while for both teams to reset their bearings, in this scenario I’m more comfortable backing the home team. After all, the Mavs are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings and have won 4 of 5 overall at home before the break. Back Dallas to cover here.

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Suns vs Mavericks Total Points Prediction: Under 243.5

Under 243.5 Total Points is available at -110 odds

Sunday’s All-Star game was hard to watch if you value defense as part of basketball, we can only hope the regular season doesn’t continue in that same vein. These two have gone over 240 points in both meetings so far this season, so it’s no surprise that the projected total is at 243.5 points coming into this one. With the two teams ranking 4th and 7th in defensive rating over their last 10 games, I’m not really sure I like the idea of a free flowing offensive game here. Dallas relied mostly on their defense to win during this current streak that they’re on, opponents have averaged just 102.5 points per 100 possessions against them which is the best mark in the entire NBA. Phoenix isn’t lagging behind either and with Bradley Beal out of the line-up, they might not have the necessary firepower to go full on attack mode here. The total has cashed on the under in 11 of the last 16 Suns games and in 6 of their last 9 on the road. For Dallas that bet is 6-2 in their last 8 and has cashed in 5 of 6 vs West teams. With 8 of the last 11 meetings going under the total, that’s the bet I’ll be sticking with for Thursday’s game. Back the under.

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