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Suns @ Mavericks - 1/20


You won’t see a bunch of under from me, but I had to jump on this one, read why below!

Best Bet:

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Chris Paul under 13.5 points @ -105

I know, I know. Playing an under sucks! However there was just too much to like about this prop to resist.

Let's start with the Dallas defense. For the season they allow the 5th least amount of PPG to Point Guards, and 4th least over the last 15 days.

As for CP3, he’s been under this line in 8/L10 games. On the road he is under in 7/L10. Alright so we have a top 5 defense and a beautiful trend on our hands, so far so good. But!.. we must dig deeper than that. When we take a peak at the injury report we see Deandre Ayton has already been ruled out for tonights game. Without research, I would’ve thought it just led to more scoring from Chris, but I was delighted to see that is not the case. He is under in 8/L10 games when Ayton is sitting on the bench and I must note the two overs were against the Rockets and Spurs. Both teams that are fast paced and allergic to defending.

I’d imagine this line will close at 13.5 with better odds but I will lock it in now with the juicy odds with Unibet.

After the blog was written the line moved to 13.5 as Ryan predicted and the pick has been updated accordingly.