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Capper Penguin's TNF Colts @ Broncos Picks - 10/6

Indianapolis Colts @ Denver Broncos

I'm not sure if I've ever taken an over and an under on the same NFL player and this is the last time I'll ever be able to say that. The game script seems to be working in our favor for both angles. Hines should lead the team in running back snaps, but with Philip Lindsay called off the practice squad to make his first return to Denver, Philip should lead the Colts in rushing attempts with Deon Jackson's help. Hines will be the primary receiving back with more production than normal since no Jonathan Taylor and the Colts will likely be playing from behind.

Jonathan Taylor has not missed a game since November 9th 2020 leaving most of the workload to Hines where he recorded 29 rushing yards on 10 attempts and 66 receiving yards on 8 catches (10 targets). Since that game Taylor has had 10 or fewer touches twice and Nyheim again covered easily both games with 54 and 37 yards. Even with JT, Nyheim has covered the receiving line in both away games this year with 37 and 50 yards. Hines also covered in his only game vs Den with 34 receiving yards (3 seasons ago). 

Altogether, the Colts have been worse on the ground so far this year and without JT, I don't think Hines will cover a rushing line that he has only covered once in the last two seasons. Especially with a motivated Philip Lindsay making his first return back to Denver. However, Hines should be able to cover the receiving yards for the third away game in a row as the Colts get creative on offense.

Best odds for both lines on BET365 where you can get $200 free bets when you bet $1 or more using this link!

Penguin's Play

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Nyheim Hines over 27.5 receiving yards (0.75 units) @ -110

Penguin's Play

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Nyheim Hines Under 38.5 Rushing yards (0.75 units) @ -110
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