@FastMoneyLabs' TNF +180 Same Game Parlay: Bills @ Patriots - 12/1

⚡️ Free Picks Newsletter ⚡️
SUBSCRIBE TODAY
By subscribing you agree to our T&Cs & Privacy Policy and are happy to receive marketing from FlashPicks. 21+

We finally have an NFL Thursday Night Football matchup to get excited and $FML has a +180 Same Game Parlay ready to tail.

Leg 1: Rhamondre Stevenson 5+ Receptions

Mentioned on Twitter earlier… I’m expecting a HEAVY dose of Stevenson tonight. Damien Harris is out, and the Pats’ next game (after tonight) isn’t till Monday, December 12th. Bill Belichick game plans can be tough to predict, but it doesn’t take rocket science to know they need to lean on Stevenson here.

I’m already on him to get 16+ carries (-128/Caesars) but just in case I’m wrong on the game script, I want some action on Rhamondre’s reception prop. He’s been a target MAGNET lately (33 catches last 5 games), and the Bills defense ranks 20th in DVOA defending the pass vs. RB. Even if the Pats do lean on the run, I like Stevenson’s chances to secure 5+ catches with Harris out.

Leg 2: Gabe Davis 45+ Receiving Yards

He’s rightly earned the ire of Fantasy Footballers this season, but if one thing has been constant: it’s 5+ targets and 35+ receiving yards. Davis attracted at least 5 targets in 9 of 10 games this season and hauled in 35+ receiving yards in 8 of 10. Tonight, I’m trusting him to do a little better than that by clearing 45+ vs. a Patriots defense that ranks 3rd defending the pass overall but 20th specifically vs. WR2s like Davis (per Football Outsiders’ DVOA measure). They’re also allowing 11.5 yards per completion (9th most).

I noticed Davis only has 6 yards after the catch (YAC) COMBINED in the last 4 weeks. That’s BAD, but he’s way too talented to sustain a trend like that, right? Even if YAC doesn’t improve, his Average Depth of Target (ADOT) is about 16 yards this season. Meanwhile, his Receptions Prop line is set at o/u 3.5. Even if he gets hooked and finishes with 3 catches, he could still clear 45+ receiving yards based on that ADOT.

FastMoneyLabs Thursday Night Football Same Game Parlay BetMGM

I risked 0.75 units on the combo @ +180 to win 1.35 units at MGM!

If you’re feelin risky, you could consider sprinkling a 2nd version with both players to score a Tuddy, too, at +950!

Pelicans

NOP

-115

+5.5

Mavericks

DAL

-105

-5.5

NBA | Fri 02/03, 1:30 AM
Warriors

GSW

-110

+6.5

Nuggets

DEN

-110

-6.5

NBA | Fri 02/03, 2:00 AM
Clippers

LAC

-115

+2.5

Bucks

MIL

-105

-2.5

NBA | Fri 02/03, 3:00 AM
Trail Blazers

POR

Wizards

WAS

NBA | Sat 02/04, 12:00 AM
Suns

PHX

Celtics

BOS

NBA | Sat 02/04, 12:30 AM
Magic

ORL

Timberwolves

MIN

NBA | Sat 02/04, 1:00 AM
76ers

PHI

Spurs

SAS

NBA | Sat 02/04, 1:00 AM
Raptors

TOR

Rockets

HOU

NBA | Sat 02/04, 1:00 AM
Hawks

ATL

Jazz

UTA

NBA | Sat 02/04, 2:00 AM
Chiefs

KC

-110

+1.5

Eagles

PHI

-110

-1.5

NFL | Sun 02/12, 11:30 PM

Free Bets & Offers


Virginia: Bet $1, Get $200 Guaranteed
New customers only. Make a qualifying deposit (min $10), place bets to deposit value, once they are settled, matched amount in Bet Credits available to use. Bet Credits risk excluded from returns. T&Cs apply. VA Only. 21+.
CLAIM NOW
Virginia: Bet $20, Win $200 in Free Bets
Promo Code: GET100. New users in VA. 21+.
CLAIM NOW
Bet $5 & Get $200 Instantly in Virginia
New users in VA. 21+
CLAIM NOW
$1,000 in Bonus Bets on any Sport in Virginia
New users in VA. 21+
CLAIM NOW
⚡️ Free Picks Newsletter ⚡️
By subscribing you agree to our T&Cs & Privacy Policy and are happy to receive marketing from FlashPicks. 21+
SUBSCRIBE TODAY

Covering a wide range of US sports, we aim to be the ultimate sports betting website. Here you’ll find picks and analysis for the biggest sports across the USA.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537).

21+
800Gambler - Helpline: 1-800 GAMBLER
State Selector
Virginia
Disclaimer

FlashPicks is owned and operated by Checkd Media. Contact [email protected] for more information.

© 2012 - 2023 Copyright FlashPicks. All Rights reserved. v2.8.4 (1)