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$FML's Christmas Eve NFL Best Bets & Bonus Parlay - 12/24

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Pick #1: Lions @ Panthers

When will Dan Campbell’s Lions start getting some respect?

They’re on an absolute heater right now (6-1 in last 7) and very much in the hunt. Detroit ranks #5 in points per game, and betting them to score 3+ TDs is 6-2 in their last 8. It’s also 10-4 on the season. It missed last week vs. a tough Jets defense, but the Panthers are average at best. When the Lions smell weaker prey, they pounce. And this is a must-win game.

I risked 1.05 units to win 1u at Draftkings Sportsbook.

$FML Best Bet #1

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Lions over 2.5 Touchdowns @ -105
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Pick #2: Giants @ Vikings

Are the Vikings the frauds of the century?

It’s a definitive yes, in my opinion. Nearly every match they play settles as a one-possession game. They find ways to win, sure, but 10 of their 11 dubs came by 8 points or less. They’ve already clinched playoffs, whereas the Underdogs are laser focused on securing a Week 16 win here. New York consistently find ways to keep games close, and they carry receipts with an elite 10-4 against the spread (ATS) record this season. While it’s tempting to take NYG +4 and call it a day, I bought 6.5 points and paired with a bet that superstar running back Saquon Barkley will find paydirt. Betting #26 to score is 9-5 this season, and the dude is absolutely locked in right now. Look for him to find the end zone and keep this match within 10-points.

I risked 0.75 units at Barstool Sportsbook.

$FML Best Bet #2

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Saquon Barkley to Score & Giants +10.5 @ +114
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Pick #3: Texans @ Titans

Houston, we have a problem!

A massive, 6’3”, 250 pounder, at that. Everybody knows King Henry is a brute force vs. all opponents, but it’s especially true vs. Houston. Betting him to rush for 200+ yards and score 2+ touchdowns is 4-0 in this matchup since December 2019. Let that sink in for a minute. This year’s Texans allow more rushing yards and touchdowns to Running Backs than any other team, and it’s not even close. The Titans are coming off a heart-breaking loss vs. a tougher Los Angeles Chargers club and have now lost 4 straight contests. Now back home in a must-win situation — they absolutely need to lean on King Henry Saturday, and I love the odds we’re getting on him to score twice.

I risked 0.5 units at Barstool Sportsbook.

$FML Best Bet #3

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Derrick Henry to score 2+ Touchdowns @ +390
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$FML's Longshot Parlay (+1882)

It’s not always wise, but I did it. I packed all three bets into a Parlay paying nearly 19-1 at Barstool Sportsbook. We came within 1 leg of cashing a similar ticket last week, and I’m eager to hit one before Christmas. Feel free to water it down as you see fit… I’m rolling with this!

I risked 0.25 units at Barstool Sportsbook.

FML Longshot Parlay
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