Guys, I am going to be completely honest. I do not know where I am leaning for this game. The Dolphins are undefeated and beat the Ravens and Bills in the last 2 weeks and look great. The Bengals looked good after a horrible first 2 weeks, but it was against the Jets. If it wasn’t a short week for the Dolphins after playing the Bills I probably would be all over the Dolphins spread and moneyline.
However, this is the current situation and I am torn. I do however have a nice same game parlay for this game. The Dolphins have been giving up tons of yards and points from opposing quarterbacks, but have had a pretty good run defense through 3 weeks. We will focus on Burrow getting his and Higgins and Boyd to clean up on some alternate yards.
On the Dolphins side of the ball I really like Chase Edmonds reception yards. I think with Tua’s injury combined with how good the Bengals defense is, I like the dump off to the running back here. I am very high on this Bengals defense, but this is the spot I want to attack. Last week the Jets threw 6 times to Breece Hall for 53 yards on 11 targets. Tony Pollard had 4 catches for 55 yards on 7 targets in week 2. Chase Edmonds only had 1 catch for 6 yards last week, but that was vs. the Bills defense and the Bills had the ball for the majority of the game and Tua didn't play the whole game. Chase Edmonds receiving yards is probably my favorite play for this game as I think it just fits the game script.
I do lean the under overall, but this short week and tired defense from the Dolphins can blow it. I am sorry I am not too confident in certain spots, but we still have a chance to gamble on a Thursday Night.
We have a 5 leg SGP for +865: